SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 12 March 2026

BKN97–108ATL
Is it worth watching?
Skippable

It was more exciting than 28% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ ATL winsBKN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ATL leads and falls when BKN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BKN

Drake Powell
Ben Saraf
Josh Minott
Chaney Johnson
E.J. Liddell

Powell · Saraf · Minott · Johnson · Liddell

Closing lineup · ATL

Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Jalen Johnson
CJ McCollum
Onyeka Okongwu
Zaccharie Risacher

Alexander-Walker · Johnson · McCollum · Okongwu · Risacher

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BKN
Drake Powell

Drake Powell

32′ · -17

Ben Saraf

Ben Saraf

31′ · -13

Danny Wolf

Danny Wolf

28′ · -9

Nic Claxton

Nic Claxton

21′ · -6

Noah Clowney

Noah Clowney

20′ · -4

Tyson Etienne

Tyson Etienne

18′ · +1

Jalen Wilson

Jalen Wilson

17′ · -1

Josh Minott

Josh Minott

24′ · +2

Chaney Johnson

Chaney Johnson

20′ · -4

Terance Mann

Terance Mann

16′ · +6

E.J. Liddell

E.J. Liddell

13′ · -10

ATL
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

36′ · +9

Jalen Johnson

Jalen Johnson

36′ · +12

CJ McCollum

CJ McCollum

30′ · +1

Onyeka Okongwu

Onyeka Okongwu

30′ · +6

Corey Kispert

Corey Kispert

20′ · +6

Zaccharie Risacher

Zaccharie Risacher

31′ · +17

Gabe Vincent

Gabe Vincent

19′ · +10

Jock Landale

Jock Landale

13′ · +3

Jonathan Kuminga

Jonathan Kuminga

19′ · -11

Mouhamed Gueye

Mouhamed Gueye

5′ · +2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and ATL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Brooklyn Nets

  • Claxton, Clowney, Wolf, Saraf, and Powell played 18.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Mann, Wilson, Etienne, Minott, and Johnson played 13.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Liddell, Minott, Wolf, Saraf, and Powell played 6.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Atlanta Hawks

  • Alexander-Walker, Okongwu, Johnson, Kispert, and McCollum played 9.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Alexander-Walker, Okongwu, Kuminga, Johnson, and McCollum played 5.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Vincent, Okongwu, Johnson, Kispert, and Risacher played 5.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Brooklyn Nets

  • Liddell, Minott, Saraf, Powell, and Johnson played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Liddell, Etienne, Saraf, Powell, and Johnson played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Claxton, Wilson, Etienne, Wolf, and Powell played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Mann, Wilson, Liddell, Minott, and Johnson played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Atlanta Hawks

  • Alexander-Walker, Okongwu, Johnson, Risacher, and McCollum played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Landale, Vincent, Alexander-Walker, Kuminga, and Risacher played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Landale, Kuminga, Kispert, Risacher, and McCollum played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Vincent, Alexander-Walker, Okongwu, Johnson, and Risacher played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Landale, Vincent, Alexander-Walker, Johnson, and Risacher played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Alexander-Walker, Kuminga, Gueye, Risacher, and McCollum played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Landale, Alexander-Walker, Kuminga, Risacher, and McCollum played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Landale, Vincent, Johnson, Kispert, and Risacher played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Vincent, Alexander-Walker, Okongwu, Kuminga, and Johnson played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
15.526
91.1% of capacity
State Farm Arena · Atlanta
Scoring
205
combined points
26.2 below the season average (231.2)