Boston Celtics – Oklahoma City Thunder · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 12 March 2026

BOS102–104OKC

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 87% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 32 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ OKC winsBOS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when OKC leads and falls when BOS does.

This is how the game was decided.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander decided it, the Oklahoma City Thunder player with the most points (35, with 6 rebounds and 9 assists; +14 with him on the floor). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Oklahoma City Thunder 104-102 Boston Celtics (March 12, 2026) was hit by Chet Holmgren: a free throw with 0.8 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Oklahoma City Thunder up 103-102. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Oklahoma City Thunder 104-102 Boston Celtics (March 12, 2026) was a 11-0 run by the Oklahoma City Thunder in the second quarter (from 5:52 to 2:25), from 36-46 to 47-46. The Boston Celtics' best was a 9-0 run in the first quarter (from 2:36 to 1:08), from 17-24 to 26-24.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Chet Holmgren makes free throw 1 of 2.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Chet Holmgren decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 0.8 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is the only game he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Holmgren decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

12 March 2026 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401810814:647; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BOS

Brown · Pritchard · Scheierman · Hauser · Harper

Closing lineup · OKC

Gilgeous-Alexander · Wallace · Dort · Holmgren · Caruso

Q1Q2Q3Q4

BOS

Jaylen Brown

41′ · -10

Payton Pritchard

39′ · -7

Baylor Scheierman

34′ · -9

Sam Hauser

27′ · -6

Neemias Queta

27′ · -11

Luka Garza

21′ · +9

Hugo Gonzalez

28′ · -3

Ron Harper Jr.

12′ · +13

Jordan Walsh

13′ · +12

OKC

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander

39′ · +14

Cason Wallace

31′ · -2

Ajay Mitchell

30′ · -1

Luguentz Dort

29′ · +8

Chet Holmgren

28′ · +2

Isaiah Joe

13′ · +1

Alex Caruso

23′ · +6

Jaylin Williams

20′ · 0

Jared McCain

12′ · -10

Aaron Wiggins

15′ · -8

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BOS and OKC.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Boston Celtics

Brown, Queta, Pritchard, Scheierman, and Gonzalez played 8.3 minutes together.
Brown, Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, and Scheierman played 7.2 minutes together.
Brown, Queta, Pritchard, Hauser, and Scheierman played 7.0 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Boston Celtics lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Holmgren, Wallace, and Mitchell played 11.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Holmgren, and Mitchell played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Joe, Williams, and McCain played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Boston Celtics

Brown, Queta, Pritchard, Hauser, and Gonzalez played 4.6 minutes together.
Brown, Queta, Harper, Walsh, and Gonzalez played 3.7 minutes together.
Brown, Pritchard, Garza, Scheierman, and Gonzalez played 2.7 minutes together.
Brown, Garza, Harper, Walsh, and Gonzalez played 2.7 minutes together.
Queta, Pritchard, Hauser, Scheierman, and Walsh played 2.4 minutes together.
Brown, Garza, Harper, Scheierman, and Gonzalez played 2.3 minutes together.
Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, Harper, and Walsh played 1.9 minutes together.
Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, Scheierman, and Walsh played 1.2 minutes together.
Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, Scheierman, and Gonzalez played 1.1 minutes together.
Brown, Pritchard, Garza, Hauser, and Gonzalez played 1.1 minutes together.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Holmgren, Wallace, and McCain played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Wiggins, Holmgren, Wallace, McCain, and Mitchell played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.
Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Joe, Wiggins, and Williams played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Dort, Wiggins, Williams, Wallace, and Mitchell played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Caruso, Wiggins, Williams, Wallace, and Mitchell played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Joe, Holmgren, and Mitchell played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Joe, Holmgren, and Wallace played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Wiggins, Williams, and Wallace played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Caruso, Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Wiggins, and Williams played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Williams, Wallace, and McCain played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Gilgeous-Alexander, Dort, Williams, Wallace, and Mitchell played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Jaylen Brown covered 4.23 km, more than anyone in the game.

Jaylen Brown touched the ball 88 times, a game high.
Payton Pritchard made 70 passes, a game high.
Chet Holmgren defended 6 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 5.
Neemias Queta had 12 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Boston Celtics

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Jaylen Brown	4.23	6.3	88	47
Payton Pritchard	4.15	6.5	86	70
Baylor Scheierman	3.86	7.0	39	31
Hugo González	3.31	7.3	26	21
Sam Hauser	3.28	7.2	36	30
Neemias Queta	2.99	6.8	24	21
Luka Garza	2.45	7.1	30	24
Jordan Walsh	1.46	7.1	15	12
Ron Harper Jr.	1.42	7.0	14	14

Oklahoma City Thunder

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander	3.88	6.0	72	41
Ajay Mitchell	3.57	7.2	45	34
Cason Wallace	3.52	7.0	34	29
Chet Holmgren	3.19	6.8	36	29
Luguentz Dort	3.14	6.4	28

How far does Jaylen Brown run per game?

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who guarded whom

Luguentz Dort guarded Jaylen Brown for 8.4 minutes, over 32 possessions.
In that time, Jaylen Brown scored 9 points and made 2 of 5 shots.
Cason Wallace guarded Payton Pritchard for 8.3 minutes, over 32 possessions.
In that time, Payton Pritchard scored 2 points and made 1 of 5 shots.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander guarded Baylor Scheierman for 6.4 minutes, over 24 possessions.
In that time, Baylor Scheierman scored 3 points and made 1 of 3 shots.

▸See all 24 matchups of two minutes or more

Boston Celtics defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Pritchard	Wallace	4.3	21	0 (0/1)
González	Gilgeous-Alexander	3.8	16	8 (4/5)
Pritchard	Mitchell	3.8	19	2 (1/1)
Queta	Caruso	3.7	12	5 (2/7)
Brown	Gilgeous-Alexander	3.2	14	5 (1/2)
Hauser	Dort	3.1	12	0 (0/0)
Scheierman	Gilgeous-Alexander	3.0	11	4 (2/4)
Brown	Wallace	2.7	10	4 (2/5)
Garza	Dort	2.7	10	3 (1/3)
Hauser	Holmgren	2.4	8	9 (3/3)
Harper	Joe	2.2	9	0 (0/0)
Scheierman	Mitchell	2.2	11	4 (2/3)
Garza	Holmgren	2.1	12	2 (1/3)

Oklahoma City Thunder defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Dort	Brown	8.4	32	9 (2/5)
Wallace	Pritchard	8.3	32	2 (1/5)
Gilgeous-Alexander	Scheierman	6.4	24	3 (1/3)
Mitchell	Hauser	5.0	17	5 (2/3)
Holmgren	Garza	4.9	17	5 (2/4)

Matchups come from the NBA's tracking (NBA.com) for this game: how long each defender guarded each attacker and what the attacker produced in that time. Only matchups of two minutes or more are shown.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2025-26 regular season, not this game.

Boston Celtics

Jaylen Brown recovered 0.8 loose balls per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 13 of 399 in the league.
Neemias Queta contested 7.8 shots per game over his 76 games.
He ranks 24 of 399 in the league.
Luka Garza drew 0.07 charges per game over his 68 games.
He ranks 47 of 399 in the league.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Chet Holmgren defended 6.1 shots at the rim per game over his 69 games, and opponents made 15 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 1 of 118 in the league.
Cason Wallace deflected 4.4 passes per game over his 77 games.
He ranks 1 of 399 in the league.
Jaylin Williams drew 0.26 charges per game over his 65 games.
He ranks 5 of 399 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 19 of their 36 games against the Boston Celtics.

19-17record of the Oklahoma City Thunder · NBA 2008-09 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2008-09 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

18.203

100% of capacity

Paycom Center · Oklahoma City

Scoring

206

combined points

25.2 below the season average (231.2)