Portland Trail Blazers – Minnesota Timberwolves · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 20 March 2026

POR108–104MIN

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 97% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 29 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIN winsPOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIN leads and falls when POR does.

This is how the game was decided.

Jerami Grant decided it, the Portland Trail Blazers player with the most points (26, with 5 rebounds and 1 assists; +9 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Jrue Holiday's (+14). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Minnesota Timberwolves 104-108 Portland Trail Blazers (March 20, 2026) was hit by Jerami Grant: a three-pointer with 22.2 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Portland Trail Blazers up 106-104. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Minnesota Timberwolves 104-108 Portland Trail Blazers (March 20, 2026) was a 9-0 run by the Minnesota Timberwolves in the third quarter (from 9:49 to 8:28), from 59-72 to 68-72. The Portland Trail Blazers' best was a 7-0 run in the fourth quarter (from 9:20 to 7:40), from 87-90 to 94-90.

What were the keys of the last Minnesota Timberwolves vs Portland Trail Blazers game?

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Jerami Grant makes 23-foot three point jumper (Jrue Holiday assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

This is how the two teams compared in passes and jump shots.

Portland made 274 passes and Minnesota made 291.
POR 274291 MIN
Portland made 15 of 53 jump shots and Minnesota made 18 of 55.
POR15/53
MIN18/55

Passes come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game: each team's total adds up its players' passes. Jump shots come from ESPN's play-by-play: every field-goal attempt ESPN logs as a jump shot counts, threes included.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · POR

Camara · Holiday · Grant · Clingan · Thybulle

Closing lineup · MIN

McDaniels · Gobert · Dosunmu · Randle · DiVincenzo

Q1Q2Q3Q4

POR

Deni Avdija

36′ · -1

Toumani Camara

34′ · +3

Jrue Holiday

32′ · +14

Jerami Grant

32′ · +9

Donovan Clingan

31′ · +2

Scoot Henderson

24′ · -2

Matisse Thybulle

16′ · -5

Robert Williams III

17′ · +2

Kris Murray

16′ · -3

Sidy Cissoko

2′ · +1

MIN

Jaden McDaniels

40′ · -11

Rudy Gobert

38′ · +5

Ayo Dosunmu

38′ · +11

Julius Randle

37′ · 0

Donte DiVincenzo

35′ · -14

Bones Hyland

22′ · -5

Kyle Anderson

18′ · +7

Terrence Shannon Jr.

11′ · -13

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. POR and MIN.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Portland Trail Blazers

Avdija, Camara, Clingan, Holiday, and Grant played 19.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 14 points.
Williams, Henderson, Murray, Holiday, and Grant played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Williams, Thybulle, Henderson, Murray, and Holiday played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

Minnesota Timberwolves

DiVincenzo, McDaniels, Dosunmu, Gobert, and Randle played 22.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Dosunmu, Hyland, Shannon, Anderson, and Randle played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
DiVincenzo, McDaniels, Hyland, Gobert, and Anderson played 4.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See every lineup of the game

Portland Trail Blazers

Avdija, Henderson, Camara, Clingan, and Grant played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.
Thybulle, Avdija, Henderson, Camara, and Clingan played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Williams, Avdija, Henderson, Camara, and Grant played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Williams, Thybulle, Avdija, Henderson, and Murray played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Henderson, Murray, Camara, Clingan, and Grant played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Williams, Thybulle, Avdija, Camara, and Holiday played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Thybulle, Avdija, Henderson, Murray, and Clingan played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Williams, Thybulle, Henderson, Murray, and Cissoko played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Thybulle, Avdija, Camara, Clingan, and Holiday played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

Minnesota Timberwolves

DiVincenzo, McDaniels, Dosunmu, Shannon, and Gobert played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
DiVincenzo, McDaniels, Hyland, Gobert, and Randle played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
McDaniels, Dosunmu, Hyland, Gobert, and Anderson played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
McDaniels, Dosunmu, Hyland, Anderson, and Randle played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Dosunmu, Hyland, Gobert, Anderson, and Randle played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
DiVincenzo, McDaniels, Hyland, Shannon, and Randle played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Jaden McDaniels covered 4.92 km, more than anyone in the game.

Deni Avdija touched the ball 88 times, a game high.
Ayo Dosunmu made 68 passes, a game high.
Rudy Gobert defended 11 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 6.
Rudy Gobert had 29 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Portland Trail Blazers

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Deni Avdija	4.52	6.9	88	53
Toumani Camara	4.51	7.3	38	29
Jrue Holiday	3.94	6.9	70	51
Jerami Grant	3.93	6.9	45	22
Donovan Clingan	3.67	6.5	56	41
Scoot Henderson	3.11	7.1	52	36
Matisse Thybulle	2.08	6.9	15	9
Kris Murray	2.00	7.1	10	8
Robert Williams III	1.91	6.3	30	23
Sidy Cissoko	0.23	7.2	2	2

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Jaden McDaniels	4.92	6.9	51	34
Rudy Gobert	4.73	6.8	67	49
Ayo Dosunmu	4.67	6.7	86	68
Donte DiVincenzo	4.34	6.9	65	45
Julius Randle	4.25	6.4	59

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

This is how each team's plays were shared among its players.

Portland Trail Blazers

Player	Min	Usage (%)
Deni Avdija	36:10	31.0
Toumani Camara	34:00	12.2
Jrue Holiday	31:55	19.8
Jerami Grant	31:53	26.6
Donovan Clingan	31:08	19.5
Scoot Henderson	24:21	23.1
Robert Williams III	16:52	15.2
Matisse Thybulle	16:17	13.6
Kris Murray	15:45	4.4
Sidy Cissoko	1:39	0.0

Minnesota Timberwolves

Player	Min	Usage (%)
Jaden McDaniels	40:02	14.4
Rudy Gobert	38:24	17.9
Ayo Dosunmu	38:21	17.3
Julius Randle	36:44	25.8
Donte DiVincenzo	35:08	23.0
Bones Hyland	22:12	27.3
Kyle Anderson	18:02	15.9
Terrence Shannon Jr	11:07	7.4

Usage is the NBA's official figure (NBA.com) for this game: out of every 100 team plays while he was on the floor, how many he finished with a shot, a turnover or free throws.

Who guarded whom

Rudy Gobert guarded Donovan Clingan for 9.1 minutes, over 42 possessions.
In that time, Donovan Clingan scored 7 points and made 3 of 7 shots.
Donovan Clingan guarded Rudy Gobert for 9.0 minutes, over 41 possessions.
In that time, Rudy Gobert scored 11 points and made 4 of 10 shots.
Jaden McDaniels guarded Deni Avdija for 7.4 minutes, over 39 possessions.
In that time, Deni Avdija scored 15 points and made 5 of 9 shots.

▸See all 29 matchups of two minutes or more

Portland Trail Blazers defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Clingan	Gobert	9.0	41	11 (4/10)
Avdija	McDaniels	6.6	38	2 (1/1)
Camara	Randle	5.2	24	7 (3/6)
Grant	DiVincenzo	3.7	20	3 (1/2)
Holiday	Dosunmu	3.3	13	3 (1/3)
Henderson	Dosunmu	3.1	13	5 (2/3)
Henderson	Hyland	2.9	15	9 (2/4)
Williams	Gobert	2.8	12	0 (0/0)
Thybulle	Hyland	2.7	10	5 (2/2)
Camara	DiVincenzo	2.7	16	3 (1/4)
Grant	McDaniels	2.7	11	2 (1/2)
Murray	Randle	2.4	11	4 (1/3)
Camara	Dosunmu	2.4	15	3 (1/3)
Holiday	DiVincenzo	2.3	13	0 (0/4)
Williams	Anderson	2.2	9	0 (0/1)
Grant	Randle	2.1	15	2 (1/2)

Minnesota Timberwolves defending

Defender	Attacker	Min	Poss	Pts (FG)
Gobert	Clingan	9.1	42	7 (3/7)
McDaniels	Avdija	7.4	39	15 (5/9)
Dosunmu	Camara	5.2	25	2 (0/1)
DiVincenzo	Holiday	5.0	25	0 (0/2)
Randle	Grant	4.9	23	7 (2/3)

Matchups come from the NBA's tracking (NBA.com) for this game: how long each defender guarded each attacker and what the attacker produced in that time. Only matchups of two minutes or more are shown.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2025-26 regular season, not this game.

Portland Trail Blazers

Donovan Clingan contested 13.5 shots per game over his 77 games.
He ranks 1 of 399 in the league.
Toumani Camara drew 0.22 charges per game over his 82 games.
He ranks 6 of 399 in the league.
Matisse Thybulle deflected 3.9 passes per game over his 30 games.
He ranks 7 of 399 in the league.

Minnesota Timberwolves

Rudy Gobert contested 10.6 shots per game over his 76 games.
He ranks 2 of 399 in the league.
Jaden McDaniels defended 5.6 shots at the rim per game over his 73 games, and opponents made 11 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 5 of 118 in the league.
Donte DiVincenzo recovered 0.8 loose balls per game over his 81 games.
He ranks 19 of 399 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Minnesota Timberwolves have won 51 of their 147 games against the Portland Trail Blazers.

51-96record of the Minnesota Timberwolves · NBA 1989-90 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

3-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1989-90 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

18.978

105.3% of capacity

Target Center · Minneapolis

Scoring

212

combined points

19.2 below the season average (231.2)