SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 27 March 2026

LAC114–113IND
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 97% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 32 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ IND winsLAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when IND leads and falls when LAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · LAC

Kawhi Leonard
Brook Lopez
Derrick Jones Jr.
Bennedict Mathurin
Nicolas Batum

Leonard · Lopez · Jones · Mathurin · Batum

Closing lineup · IND

Aaron Nesmith
Pascal Siakam
Andrew Nembhard
Jay Huff
Obi Toppin

Nesmith · Siakam · Nembhard · Huff · Toppin

Q1Q2Q3Q4
LAC
Darius Garland

Darius Garland

35′ · +2

Kawhi Leonard

Kawhi Leonard

35′ · +17

Brook Lopez

Brook Lopez

33′ · +10

Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr.

26′ · -5

John Collins

John Collins

20′ · -7

Bennedict Mathurin

Bennedict Mathurin

29′ · +2

Kris Dunn

Kris Dunn

21′ · -3

Nicolas Batum

Nicolas Batum

14′ · -3

Isaiah Jackson

Isaiah Jackson

14′ · -6

Jordan Miller

Jordan Miller

13′ · -2

IND
Aaron Nesmith

Aaron Nesmith

35′ · -11

Pascal Siakam

Pascal Siakam

33′ · -6

Andrew Nembhard

Andrew Nembhard

32′ · +8

Jay Huff

Jay Huff

20′ · -6

Jarace Walker

Jarace Walker

4′ · +6

Quenton Jackson

Quenton Jackson

13′ · +4

Kobe Brown

Kobe Brown

27′ · +5

Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin

23′ · +6

Micah Potter

Micah Potter

16′ · +6

T.J. McConnell

T.J. McConnell

13′ · -2

Ben Sheppard

Ben Sheppard

19′ · -13

Jalen Slawson

Jalen Slawson

4′ · -2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAC and IND.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

LA Clippers

  • Jones, Collins, Garland, Lopez, and Leonard played 16.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Dunn, Jackson, Mathurin, Miller, and Batum played 9.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Jones, Garland, Mathurin, Lopez, and Leonard played 6.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Indiana Pacers

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Toppin, Nesmith, and Sheppard played 6.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Siakam, Nesmith, Huff, Jackson, and Brown played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith, Huff, and Walker played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

LA Clippers

  • Garland, Mathurin, Miller, Lopez, and Leonard played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Dunn, Jackson, Mathurin, Batum, and Leonard played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Dunn, Collins, Garland, Lopez, and Leonard played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Dunn, Garland, Mathurin, Lopez, and Batum played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Dunn, Jones, Garland, Mathurin, and Lopez played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Collins, Garland, Mathurin, and Lopez played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Dunn, Garland, Jackson, Mathurin, and Leonard played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Garland, Jackson, Mathurin, Miller, and Leonard played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

Indiana Pacers

  • Toppin, Nesmith, Sheppard, Slawson, and McConnell played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith, Huff, and Brown played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Potter, Brown, and Sheppard played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Potter, Brown, and McConnell played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Nembhard, Toppin, Potter, Brown, and McConnell played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Siakam, Nembhard, Nesmith, Potter, and McConnell played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Nembhard, Toppin, Potter, Jackson, and Brown played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Nembhard, Toppin, Nesmith, Potter, and Sheppard played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Toppin, Nesmith, Huff, Jackson, and Brown played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Toppin, Nesmith, Huff, Jackson, and Sheppard played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Siakam, Toppin, Nesmith, Jackson, and Brown played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Nembhard, Toppin, Nesmith, Huff, and Brown played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
16.645
92.9% of capacity
Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Indianapolis
Scoring
227
combined points
4.2 below the season average (231.2)