SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 8 April 2026

POR101–112SAS
Is it worth watching?
Skippable

It was more exciting than 16% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ SAS winsPOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when SAS leads and falls when POR does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · POR

Toumani Camara
Deni Avdija
Scoot Henderson
Jrue Holiday
Kris Murray

Camara · Avdija · Henderson · Holiday · Murray

Closing lineup · SAS

De'Aaron Fox
Dylan Harper
Devin Vassell
Luke Kornet
Keldon Johnson

Fox · Harper · Vassell · Kornet · Johnson

Q1Q2Q3Q4
POR
Toumani Camara

Toumani Camara

40′ · +7

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

38′ · +7

Scoot Henderson

Scoot Henderson

38′ · -7

Jrue Holiday

Jrue Holiday

31′ · -9

Donovan Clingan

Donovan Clingan

28′ · -4

Matisse Thybulle

Matisse Thybulle

24′ · -19

Kris Murray

Kris Murray

12′ · -9

Robert Williams III

Robert Williams III

13′ · -11

Sidy Cissoko

Sidy Cissoko

9′ · -8

Blake Wesley

Blake Wesley

4′ · +2

Caleb Love

Caleb Love

2′ · -4

SAS
De'Aaron Fox

De'Aaron Fox

35′ · -3

Dylan Harper

Dylan Harper

33′ · +6

Devin Vassell

Devin Vassell

31′ · 0

Julian Champagnie

Julian Champagnie

27′ · +6

Luke Kornet

Luke Kornet

26′ · +5

Keldon Johnson

Keldon Johnson

29′ · +13

Harrison Barnes

Harrison Barnes

27′ · +13

Carter Bryant

Carter Bryant

25′ · +6

Jordan McLaughlin

Jordan McLaughlin

9′ · +9

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. POR and SAS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Avdija, Henderson, Camara, Clingan, and Holiday played 14.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Williams, Thybulle, Henderson, Murray, and Holiday played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Thybulle, Avdija, Murray, Camara, and Clingan played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

San Antonio Spurs

  • Fox, Kornet, Vassell, Champagnie, and Harper played 11.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Johnson, Champagnie, Harper, Bryant, and Barnes played 9.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 11 points.

  • Fox, Kornet, Johnson, Vassell, and Harper played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Avdija, Henderson, Murray, Camara, and Holiday played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Thybulle, Henderson, Wesley, Camara, and Clingan played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Williams, Thybulle, Love, Cissoko, and Holiday played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Thybulle, Avdija, Henderson, Camara, and Clingan played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Thybulle, Avdija, Cissoko, Camara, and Clingan played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Thybulle, Avdija, Henderson, Murray, and Camara played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Thybulle, Avdija, Henderson, Camara, and Holiday played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Williams, Avdija, Henderson, Wesley, and Camara played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Williams, Avdija, Cissoko, Camara, and Holiday played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Thybulle, Henderson, Camara, Clingan, and Holiday played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Williams, Avdija, Henderson, Camara, and Holiday played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Thybulle, Avdija, Henderson, Cissoko, and Clingan played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

San Antonio Spurs

  • Fox, Kornet, McLaughlin, Vassell, and Barnes played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Fox, Johnson, Champagnie, Bryant, and Barnes played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Fox, Johnson, Vassell, Harper, and Bryant played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Johnson, Vassell, Harper, Bryant, and Barnes played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Fox, Kornet, Johnson, Vassell, and Barnes played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Fox, Kornet, McLaughlin, Bryant, and Barnes played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Fox, Johnson, Vassell, Champagnie, and Bryant played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Fox, Kornet, McLaughlin, Johnson, and Vassell played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • McLaughlin, Johnson, Harper, Bryant, and Barnes played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.354
100% of capacity
Frost Bank Center · San Antonio
Scoring
213
combined points
18.2 below the season average (231.2)