Win probability changed during the game. · 10 April 2026
It was more exciting than 8% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIL leads and falls when BKN does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · BKN
Smith · Saraf · Scott · Etienne · Wilson
Closing lineup · MIL
Green · Dieng · Ryan · Sims · Jackson
Malachi Smith
43′ · -12
Ben Saraf
41′ · -31
Trevon Scott
41′ · -21
E.J. Liddell
32′ · -6
Tyson Etienne
32′ · -24
Nolan Traore
16′ · +3
Jalen Wilson
34′ · +6
AJ Green
41′ · +29
Ousmane Dieng
37′ · +17
Taurean Prince
35′ · +18
Cormac Ryan
34′ · +21
Myles Turner
27′ · +26
Jericho Sims
30′ · -7
Kyle Kuzma
21′ · -8
Andre Jackson Jr.
15′ · -11
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and MIL.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Brooklyn Nets
Scott, Wilson, Etienne, Smith, and Saraf played 11.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Scott, Liddell, Etienne, Smith, and Saraf played 11.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 21 points.
Scott, Wilson, Liddell, Smith, and Saraf played 8.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Milwaukee Bucks
Turner, Prince, Dieng, Green, and Ryan played 13.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 24 points.
Turner, Prince, Sims, Dieng, and Green played 7.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Prince, Sims, Dieng, Green, and Ryan played 6.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
▸See every lineup of the game
Brooklyn Nets
Scott, Wilson, Liddell, Smith, and Traore played 4.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Scott, Wilson, Etienne, Traore, and Saraf played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Wilson, Liddell, Etienne, Smith, and Traore played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Wilson, Liddell, Smith, Traore, and Saraf played 2.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Wilson, Liddell, Etienne, Traore, and Saraf played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Liddell, Etienne, Smith, Traore, and Saraf played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Milwaukee Bucks
Kuzma, Sims, Dieng, Green, and Jackson played 5.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Turner, Prince, Kuzma, Green, and Ryan played 4.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Prince, Kuzma, Sims, Jackson, and Ryan played 4.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Kuzma, Sims, Dieng, Jackson, and Ryan played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Kuzma, Sims, Green, Jackson, and Ryan played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Turner, Kuzma, Sims, Dieng, and Green played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
