Win probability changed during the game. · 15 December 2025
It was more exciting than 83% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when BOS leads and falls when DET does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · DET
Cunningham · Harris · Duren · Robinson · Green
Closing lineup · BOS
Brown · White · Pritchard · Queta · Simons
Cade Cunningham
36′ · +2
Tobias Harris
32′ · +7
Jalen Duren
29′ · -1
Duncan Robinson
26′ · +8
Ausar Thompson
23′ · +1
Jaden Ivey
21′ · +1
Isaiah Stewart
22′ · +1
Caris LeVert
19′ · -2
Ronald Holland II
14′ · +7
Daniss Jenkins
3′ · -2
Javonte Green
14′ · +13
Jaylen Brown
40′ · -6
Derrick White
38′ · -16
Payton Pritchard
35′ · -1
Neemias Queta
34′ · +5
Jordan Walsh
18′ · -10
Hugo Gonzalez
16′ · +9
Anfernee Simons
25′ · +8
Josh Minott
13′ · -11
Sam Hauser
4′ · -1
Baylor Scheierman
15′ · -12
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. DET and BOS.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Detroit Pistons
Robinson, Cunningham, Duren, Thompson, and Harris played 12.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Green, Stewart, Cunningham, Ivey, and Holland played 4.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Robinson, Stewart, Cunningham, Thompson, and Harris played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Boston Celtics
Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Walsh played 7.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Brown, White, Simons, Queta, and Pritchard played 6.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Scheierman played 5.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
▸See every lineup of the game
Detroit Pistons
Robinson, Green, Stewart, Cunningham, and Holland played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
LeVert, Ivey, Duren, Thompson, and Harris played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
LeVert, Green, Ivey, Duren, and Harris played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
LeVert, Stewart, Cunningham, Ivey, and Duren played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
LeVert, Stewart, Ivey, Holland, and Harris played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
LeVert, Robinson, Stewart, Holland, and Jenkins played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Robinson, Green, Cunningham, Duren, and Harris played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Cunningham, Ivey, Duren, Thompson, and Harris played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
LeVert, Cunningham, Duren, Thompson, and Harris played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
LeVert, Robinson, Cunningham, Duren, and Harris played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
LeVert, Stewart, Ivey, Holland, and Jenkins played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
LeVert, Stewart, Cunningham, Ivey, and Holland played 1.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Boston Celtics
Brown, White, Queta, Pritchard, and Gonzalez played 5.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Brown, Simons, Queta, Pritchard, and Gonzalez played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 11 points.
White, Simons, Queta, Pritchard, and Walsh played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Brown, Pritchard, Minott, Scheierman, and Gonzalez played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Brown, White, Simons, Minott, and Walsh played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Brown, Simons, Minott, Scheierman, and Walsh played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Brown, White, Simons, Minott, and Scheierman played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
White, Simons, Queta, Hauser, and Walsh played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
White, Simons, Queta, Hauser, and Gonzalez played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

