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Pryce Sandfort

Similar profiles

Pryce Sandfort

SF · Nebraska

Three-point specialist

What college players who played like him went on to do · NCAA 2026 (35 games, 33.6 min)

Outlook computed on 13 Sept 2026 · Draft 2027

NBA reach history

29 / 300 — Of the 300 college players who genuinely resembled him, 29 reached the NBA

What became of them

Highest career in the cohort
Tim Hardaway Jr.
NCAA 2011 · pick #24 in 2013
13 seasons · 893 games · peak 33.1 min / 17.5 pts
Median career in the cohort
Brian Roberts
NCAA 2005 · undrafted
5 seasons · 314 games · peak 23.2 min / 9.4 pts
Lower quartile of the cohort
Andrew Goudelock
NCAA 2008 · pick #46 in 2011
3 seasons · 49 games · peak 10.5 min / 4.4 pts

Typical comps · 25 NBA analogs · median distance 1.831

Style comps

Jordan Schakel
Closeness: High · d 1.105
NCAA 2021 · undrafted · 2 seasons, 6 games

What do they share? scores efficiently · scores heavily for his minutes · connects from three · lives off the three

Anthony Morrow
Closeness: High · d 1.149
NCAA 2008 · undrafted · 9 seasons, 564 games

What do they share? connects from three · scores efficiently · scores heavily for his minutes · the offense runs through him

Adam Flagler
Closeness: Medium · d 1.37
NCAA 2019 · undrafted · 2 seasons, 39 games

What do they share? scores heavily for his minutes · the offense runs through him · lives off the three · hardly reaches the line

Similarity of STYLE, not of quality: it measures how someone plays, not who is better. Every career in the cohort actually happened — it describes what became of similar profiles, and is not a forecast about this player.

Back-tested on 3,259 college players judged without looking at anything after their season. The reach history SEPARATES (AUC 0.71) — but mostly it tells "looks like an NBA player" from "doesn't": within each quintile AUC drops to 0.51-0.61, and among Draft Combine invitees to 0.50. The ordering of careers within the cohort does NOT hold (Spearman 0.10). It is a record, not a forecast.

Method: per-40-minute production and shot profile, standardized within his own season; Euclidean distance against 26.550 college seasons from 2005-2021 with a known NBA outcome. No language model in any decision.

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