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Thomas Haugh

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Thomas Haugh

PF · Florida

Foul-drawing scorer

What college players who played like him went on to do · NCAA 2026 (34 games, 33.3 min)

Outlook computed on 13 Sept 2026 · Draft 2027

NBA reach history

62 / 300 — Of the 300 college players who genuinely resembled him, 62 reached the NBA

What became of them

Highest career in the cohort
Bradley Beal
NCAA 2012 · pick #3 in 2012
14 seasons · 807 games · peak 36.9 min / 25.6 pts
Median career in the cohort
Kessler Edwards
NCAA 2021 · pick #44 in 2021
4 seasons · 178 games · peak 20.6 min / 5.9 pts
Lower quartile of the cohort
Jared Rhoden
NCAA 2021 · undrafted
3 seasons · 45 games

Very close comps · 25 NBA analogs · median distance 1.649

Style comps

Moses Moody
Closeness: High · d 1.041
NCAA 2021 · pick #14 in 2021 · 5 seasons, 315 games

What do they share? scores heavily for his minutes · the offense runs through him

Dennis Horner
Closeness: High · d 1.211
NCAA 2010 · undrafted · 1 seasons, 8 games

What do they share? scores heavily for his minutes

Ben Uzoh
Closeness: Medium · d 1.337
NCAA 2008 · undrafted · 2 seasons, 60 games

What do they share? scores heavily for his minutes · the offense runs through him

Similarity of STYLE, not of quality: it measures how someone plays, not who is better. Every career in the cohort actually happened — it describes what became of similar profiles, and is not a forecast about this player.

Back-tested on 3,259 college players judged without looking at anything after their season. The reach history SEPARATES (AUC 0.71) — but mostly it tells "looks like an NBA player" from "doesn't": within each quintile AUC drops to 0.51-0.61, and among Draft Combine invitees to 0.50. The ordering of careers within the cohort does NOT hold (Spearman 0.10). It is a record, not a forecast.

Method: per-40-minute production and shot profile, standardized within his own season; Euclidean distance against 26.550 college seasons from 2005-2021 with a known NBA outcome. No language model in any decision.

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