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FORECAST · NBA

What Forecast expects

Each game's probability, explained in basketball terms: why, what could flip it, what we don't know and how the model has performed.

UpdatedAs of 24 Sept1,200 games with a forecast

2026-27 season · the current snapshot's forecast for every known game on the schedule.

1,200 games with a forecast: regular season + NBA Cup group stage. 7 games on the schedule are not defined yet (the opponents will be decided later): they will get a forecast once known. No forecast: 67 · preseason. The schedule is not complete until those matchups are settled.

Dates: the official NBA schedule day (US Eastern time). Tip-off time is on each game's page.

14 DecMIA @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 57%
Upcoming
14 DecMIL @ DAL
Favourite · DAL 55%
Upcoming
14 DecGSW @ MEM
Favourite · GSW 62%
Upcoming
14 DecNYK @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 68%
Upcoming
14 DecATL @ PHX
Favourite · PHX 57%
Upcoming
14 DecMIN @ UTA
Favourite · MIN 60%
Upcoming
14 DecNOP @ LAL
Favourite · LAL 74%
Upcoming
15 DecSAS @ CLE
Favourite · CLE 55%
Upcoming
15 DecDEN @ POR
Favourite · DEN 61%
Upcoming
16 DecWAS @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 81%
Upcoming
16 DecLAC @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 66%
Upcoming
16 DecPHX @ DET
Favourite · DET 71%
Upcoming
16 DecGSW @ IND
Favourite · GSW 52%
Upcoming
16 DecCLE @ ORL
Favourite · CLE 55%
Upcoming
16 DecDAL @ BKN
Favourite · BKN 52%
Upcoming
16 DecSAS @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 53%
Upcoming
16 DecUTA @ CHI
Favourite · CHI 62%
Upcoming
16 DecMIA @ MEM
Favourite · MIA 54%
Upcoming
16 DecNYK @ NOP
Favourite · NYK 54%
Upcoming
16 DecSAC @ OKC
Favourite · OKC 90%
Upcoming
16 DecMIL @ HOU
Favourite · HOU 78%
Upcoming
16 DecLAL @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 51%
Upcoming
17 DecPOR @ IND
Favourite · POR 50%
Upcoming
17 DecDAL @ PHI
Favourite · PHI 71%
Upcoming
17 DecATL @ DEN
Favourite · DEN 76%
Upcoming
18 DecOKC @ CHA
Favourite · OKC 71%
Upcoming
18 DecLAC @ MIA
Favourite · MIA 62%
Upcoming
18 DecNYK @ WAS
Favourite · NYK 66%
Upcoming
18 DecUTA @ BOS
Favourite · BOS 74%
Upcoming
18 DecORL @ BKN
Favourite · ORL 61%
Upcoming
18 DecCLE @ DET
Favourite · DET 56%
Upcoming
18 DecGSW @ TOR
Favourite · TOR 67%
Upcoming
18 DecHOU @ MEM
Favourite · HOU 73%
Upcoming
18 DecPHX @ MIL
Favourite · MIL 50%
Upcoming
18 DecLAL @ MIN
Favourite · MIN 51%
Upcoming
18 DecSAC @ NOP
Favourite · NOP 70%
Upcoming
18 DecCHI @ SAS
Favourite · SAS 77%
Upcoming
19 DecPOR @ CHA
Favourite · CHA 56%
Upcoming
19 DecORL @ ATL
Favourite · ATL 52%
Upcoming
19 DecCHI @ DAL
Favourite · DAL 52%
Upcoming

HISTORICAL TRACK RECORD

No settled games this season yet to measure it against.

Historical backing: 10,749 games from 2017-2025, error 0.227 versus 0.247 looking only at home court (0 would be perfect).

This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.