FORECAST · NBA

Scenarios

Change one forecast input — a player's minutes or availability — and see what the model expects. Conditional, not causal.

Season2026-27Update statusNot currentdata as of 20 Sept· last recalculation 20 Sept

What do you want to ask

What usually happened to those who made the jump from here?

From which competition?

Pick a player from that competition

The jumps measured from here

EuroLeague-4.3 minutes per game

515 jumps by 337 players · 2007-2025 · 42 % kept their production

ACB · Liga Endesa-2.2 minutes per game

215 jumps by 133 players · 2007-2025 · 63 % kept their production

This describes what happened to a group of players who already made that jump. It is not a forecast of anyone's career and must not be read as one.

Measured on 2026-08-27

What this answer does not do

·It describes a group of players; it is not this player's career.
·It does not say where he will go or what numbers he will post.
·Only jumps with enough sample and identity are shown; the rest are not published.

Real cases

Boston Celtics goes from 47.74 to 48.42 expected wins (+0.68) if Payton Pritchard plays 34.6 minutes per game.

Boston Celtics goes from 47.74 to 44.33 expected wins (-3.41) if Jayson Tatum does not play.

Washington Wizards goes from 25.78 to 26.81 expected wins (+1.03) if Trae Young is available.

Reference forecast as of 20 Sept 2026 · Conditional on the model, not causal.