Forecast EuroLeague 2026-27
● Updated · 6 NovThe next game is Fenerbahce at Paris on 11 Nov: Fenerbahce start with a 55% chance.
This is what Forecast expected before the latest games played.
Olympiacos, Fenerbahce and Real Madrid are the three strongest teams according to the model.
1Olympiacos1,6442Fenerbahce1,5973Real Madrid1,5874Panathinaikos1,5795Valencia1,5766FC Barcelona1,5627Zalgiris1,5468Dubai1,5409Crvena Zvezda1,54010Hapoel TLV1,535
average 1,500 · This is the strength the model uses for each game — not a title probability and not projected standings.
This season it has picked the winner in 59 of 100 games.
Across 1,298 games in 2022-23–2025-26, it picked the winner 66% of the time.
How it's calculated and its limits
Game
error (Brier): 0.215 · n=1,298 · walk-forward fuera de muestra E2022–E2025 · fases evaluables · hiperparámetros elegidos solo en train (E2010–E2021)
logloss: 0.618 · n=1,298 · walk-forward fuera de muestra E2022–E2025 · fases evaluables · hiperparámetros elegidos solo en train (E2010–E2021)
accuracy: 66% · n=1,298 · walk-forward fuera de muestra E2022–E2025 · fases evaluables · hiperparámetros elegidos solo en train (E2010–E2021)
This is the strength the model uses for each game — not a title probability and not projected standings.
What Forecast covers in this competition
- Game: Available — Reads results only: no rosters, absences or rest. On a neutral court the home advantage is zero. No market comparison: no historical lines in the database.
- Season: Not yet modeled — No model: nothing to claim.
- Playoffs & title: Not yet modeled — No model: nothing to claim.
- Players: Not yet modeled — No model: nothing to claim.
- Awards: Not yet modeled — No model: nothing to claim.
- Track record: Available — No resolved games with a sealed pre-game call yet: the prospective record starts with the season.
This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.