Forecast Primera FEB 2026-27
● Updated · 6 NovThe next game is CLUB OURENSE BALONCESTO at FLEXICAR FUENLABRADA on 7 Nov: FLEXICAR FUENLABRADA start with a 73% chance.
This is what Forecast expected before the latest games played.
IBEROLEA PALENCIA, MOVISTAR ESTUDIANTES and ALIMERKA OVIEDO BALONCESTO are the three strongest teams according to the model.
1IBEROLEA PALENCIA1,6712MOVISTAR ESTUDIANTES1,6423ALIMERKA OVIEDO BALONCESTO1,5444GRAN CANARIA1,5375HLA ALICANTE1,5296FLEXICAR FUENLABRADA1,5237COVIRAN GRANADA1,5208INSOLAC CAJA 871,4999INVEREADY ASKATUAK GIPUZKOA1,48810GRUPO ALEGA CANTABRIA1,478average 1,500 · This is the strength the model uses for each game — not a title probability and not projected standings.
This season it has picked the winner in 31 of 46 games.
Across 1,190 games in 2022–2025, it picked the winner 72% of the time.
How it's calculated and its limits
Game
error (Brier): 0.188 · n=1,190 · walk-forward fuera de muestra 2022–2025 · fases evaluables · hiperparámetros elegidos solo en train (2012–2021)
logloss: 0.558 · n=1,190 · walk-forward fuera de muestra 2022–2025 · fases evaluables · hiperparámetros elegidos solo en train (2012–2021)
accuracy: 72% · n=1,190 · walk-forward fuera de muestra 2022–2025 · fases evaluables · hiperparámetros elegidos solo en train (2012–2021)
This is the strength the model uses for each game — not a title probability and not projected standings.
What Forecast covers in this competition
- Game: Available — Reads results only: no rosters, absences or rest. On a neutral court the home advantage is zero. No market comparison: no historical lines in the database.
- Season: Not yet modeled — No model: nothing to claim.
- Playoffs & title: Not yet modeled — No model: nothing to claim.
- Players: Not yet modeled — No model: nothing to claim.
- Awards: Not yet modeled — No model: nothing to claim.
- Track record: Available — No resolved games with a sealed pre-game call yet: the prospective record starts with the season.
This is reading the data, not a bet: we work with no bookmakers and show no odds. And a game turns on an injury, a hot night or a bad call.