Forecast NBA 2026-27Scenarios

Updated · 26 Sept

Boston Celtics goes from 47.82 to 44.40 expected wins (-3.42) if Jayson Tatum does not play.

Jayson Tatum

What happens if this player sits out, returns or changes minutes?

Other real cases

Washington Wizards goes from 25.85 to 26.89 expected wins (+1.04) if Trae Young is available.

Boston Celtics goes from 47.82 to 48.50 expected wins (+0.68) if Payton Pritchard plays 34.6 minutes per game.

Reference forecast as of 26 Sept 2026 · Conditional on the model, not causal.