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FORECAST · NBA

Scenarios

Change one forecast input — a player's minutes or availability — and see what the model expects. Conditional, not causal.

Season2026-27Update statusNot currentdata as of 20 Sept· last recalculation 20 Sept
What do you want to ask
If the minutes changeHow two players coexistSwapping one of the fiveThe paths that open up

What usually happened to those who made the jump from here?

From which competition?
EuroCupEuroLeagueNBANCAA Division I
Pick a player from that competition
MILLER-MCINTYRE, CODIDIALLO, ALPHAJAMES, MIKEFRANCISCO, SYLVAINWRIGHT IV, MCKINLEYBRYANT, ELIJAHNUNN, KENDRICKBALDWIN IV, WADEVEZENKOV, SASHADORSEY, TYLERHERNANGOMEZ, JUANCHOOKOBO, ELIECAMPAZZO, FACUNDOWEILER-BABB, NICKOSMAN, CEDIPUNTER, KEVIN
The jumps measured from here
EuroCup+2.5 minutes per game
559 jumps by 267 players · 2007-2025 · 79 % kept their production
ACB · Liga Endesa-0.8 minutes per game
377 jumps by 119 players · 2008-2025 · 79 % kept their production
NBA-5.9 minutes per game
187 jumps by 84 players · 2007-2024 · 37 % kept their production

This describes what happened to a group of players who already made that jump. It is not a forecast of anyone's career and must not be read as one.

Measured on 2026-08-27

What this answer does not do
  • ·It describes a group of players; it is not this player's career.
  • ·It does not say where he will go or what numbers he will post.
  • ·Only jumps with enough sample and identity are shown; the rest are not published.

Real cases

Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
Forecast · Earlier data

Boston Celtics goes from 47.74 to 48.42 expected wins (+0.68) if Payton Pritchard plays 34.6 minutes per game.

+0.68
Δ Expected wins
Boston Celtics goes from 47.74 to 48.42 expected wins (+0.68) if Payton Pritchard plays 34.6 minutes per game.Reference47.74Scenario48.42
2026-27 regular season · reference forecast as of 2026-09-19
Boston Celtics
Boston Celtics
Forecast · Earlier data

Boston Celtics goes from 47.74 to 44.33 expected wins (-3.41) if Jayson Tatum does not play.

-3.41
Δ Expected wins
Boston Celtics goes from 47.74 to 44.33 expected wins (-3.41) if Jayson Tatum does not play.Reference47.74Scenario44.33
2026-27 regular season · reference forecast as of 2026-09-19
Washington Wizards
Washington Wizards
Forecast · Earlier data

Washington Wizards goes from 25.78 to 26.81 expected wins (+1.03) if Trae Young is available.

+1.03
Δ Expected wins
Washington Wizards goes from 25.78 to 26.81 expected wins (+1.03) if Trae Young is available.Reference25.78Scenario26.81
2026-27 regular season · reference forecast as of 2026-09-19

Reference forecast as of 19 Sept 2026 · Conditional on the model, not causal.Frozen reference as of 19 Sept 2026: the live forecast snapshot was not available (the engine does not reproduce today's live snapshot).

1 · Pick a team

30 teams in the reference forecast · expected wins
Atlanta Hawks38.2Boston Celtics47.7Brooklyn Nets28.0Charlotte Hornets40.6Chicago Bulls36.2Cleveland Cavaliers52.2Dallas Mavericks32.1Denver Nuggets54.7Detroit Pistons51.0Golden State Warriors42.5Houston Rockets52.6Indiana Pacers34.8LA Clippers32.2Los Angeles Lakers50.2Memphis Grizzlies27.3Miami Heat38.2Milwaukee Bucks33.8Minnesota Timberwolves44.8New Orleans Pelicans35.3New York Knicks44.0Oklahoma City Thunder61.5Orlando Magic42.9Philadelphia 76ers44.2Phoenix Suns39.1Portland Trail Blazers40.0Sacramento Kings24.8San Antonio Spurs54.1Toronto Raptors50.8Utah Jazz30.6Washington Wizards25.8