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FORECAST · NBA

Scenarios

Change one forecast input — a player's minutes or availability — and see what the model expects. Conditional, not causal.

Season2026-27Update statusUpdateddata as of 24 Sept· last recalculation 24 Sept

What do you want to ask

If the minutes change How two players coexist Swapping one of the five The paths that open up

What was seen when this other player was in that lineup?

For this team there is no observed data of this kind yet. When there is, the question opens on its own.

What this answer does not do

·It does not estimate what a lineup that never played would have done.
·A gap between two lineups is not the cause of that gap.
·With few possessions it claims no performance: it shows the sample.

Real cases

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics goes from 47.79 to 48.47 expected wins (+0.68) if Payton Pritchard plays 34.6 minutes per game.

Δ Expected wins

2026-27 regular season · reference forecast as of 2026-09-24

Boston Celtics

Boston Celtics goes from 47.79 to 44.37 expected wins (-3.42) if Jayson Tatum does not play.

Δ Expected wins

2026-27 regular season · reference forecast as of 2026-09-24

Washington Wizards

Washington Wizards

Washington Wizards goes from 25.83 to 26.86 expected wins (+1.03) if Trae Young is available.

Δ Expected wins

2026-27 regular season · reference forecast as of 2026-09-24

Reference forecast as of 24 Sept 2026 · Conditional on the model, not causal.