FORECAST · NBA
Scenarios
Change one forecast input — a player's minutes or availability — and see what the model expects. Conditional, not causal.
Season2026-27Update statusNot currentdata as of 20 Sept· last recalculation 20 Sept
What do you want to ask
What usually happened to those who made the jump from here?
From which competition?
Pick a player from that competition
The jumps measured from here
G League+0.7 minutes per game
655 jumps by 432 players · 2015-2026 · 86 % kept their production
NBA-11.5 minutes per game
510 jumps by 372 players · 2015-2025 · 40 % kept their production
EuroLeague-9.0 minutes per game
62 jumps by 48 players · 2015-2025 · 76 % kept their production
This describes what happened to a group of players who already made that jump. It is not a forecast of anyone's career and must not be read as one.
Measured on 2026-08-27
What this answer does not do
- ·It describes a group of players; it is not this player's career.
- ·It does not say where he will go or what numbers he will post.
- ·Only jumps with enough sample and identity are shown; the rest are not published.
2 · Pick a player
Oklahoma City Thunder projected rosterOklahoma City Thunder · expected wins 61.50 · 80 % band 50–73 · seed 1 · Western Conference · Reference forecast as of 19 Sept 2026
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderGuard38.2Min/game94 %Availability2,370Season min.+9.86ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Chet HolmgrenCenter-Forward31.5Min/game94 %Availability1,954Season min.+3.97ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Cason WallaceG28.2Min/game94 %Availability1,789Season min.+1.31ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Ajay MitchellG26.6Min/game82 %Availability1,334Season min.+0.77ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jalen WilliamsGuard-Forward28.5Min/game82 %Availability1,298Season min.+2.52ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Isaiah HartensteinCenter-Forward25.2Min/game82 %Availability1,145Season min.+2.11ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jaylin WilliamsF22.7Min/game82 %Availability1,119Season min.+1.94ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jared McCainG18.4Min/game82 %Availability908Season min.-1.20ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Alex CarusoGuard18.2Min/game82 %Availability783Season min.+0.64ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Kenrich WilliamsG14.8Min/game82 %Availability620Season min.-1.17ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Aday MaraCenter14.1Min/game86 %Availability538Season min.-2.36ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Bennett StirtzGuard13.7Min/game86 %Availability523Season min.-2.19ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Nikola TopicG15.5Min/game49 %Availability324Season min.-2.47ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Otega OwehSG13.3Min/game50 %Availability298Season min.-2.98ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Brooks BarnhizerF9.8Min/game49 %Availability221Season min.-4.26ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Thomas SorberC15.3Min/game0 %Availability0Season min.-2.80ImpactPick−5 min+5 minalready outCertain on roster
Josh Dix13.2Min/game0 %Availability0Season min.-3.48ImpactPick−5 min+5 minalready outCertain on rosterFrozen reference as of 19 Sept 2026: the live forecast snapshot was not available (the engine does not reproduce today's live snapshot).