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FORECAST · NBA

Scenarios

Change one forecast input — a player's minutes or availability — and see what the model expects. Conditional, not causal.

Season2026-27Update statusNot currentdata as of 20 Sept· last recalculation 20 Sept
What do you want to ask
If the minutes changeHow two players coexistSwapping one of the fiveThe paths that open up

What was seen when this other player was in that lineup?

Season observed: 2025
Which player do you start from?
Jalen JohnsonDyson DanielsNickeil Alexander-WalkerOnyeka OkongwuCJ McCollumLuguentz DortJock LandaleAaron WigginsRyan NembhardMouhamed GueyeCorey KispertJalen WilsonKingston FlemingsBuddy HieldZuby EjioforAsa Newell
What this answer does not do
  • ·It does not estimate what a lineup that never played would have done.
  • ·A gap between two lineups is not the cause of that gap.
  • ·With few possessions it claims no performance: it shows the sample.

2 · Pick a player

Atlanta Hawks projected roster

Atlanta Hawks · expected wins 38.24 · 80 % band 27–50 · seed 9 · Eastern Conference · Reference forecast as of 20 Sept 2026

Jalen JohnsonJalen JohnsonForward35.1Min/game94 %Availability2,302Season min.+3.03ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Dyson DanielsDyson DanielsGuard31.9Min/game94 %Availability2,107Season min.+1.63ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Nickeil Alexander-WalkerNickeil Alexander-WalkerGuard31.0Min/game94 %Availability2,007Season min.+0.68ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Onyeka OkongwuOnyeka OkongwuForward-Center29.5Min/game94 %Availability1,878Season min.+0.98ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
CJ McCollumCJ McCollumG24.6Min/game94 %Availability1,442Season min.-1.79ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Luguentz DortLuguentz DortGuard23.8Min/game94 %Availability1,419Season min.-1.69ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jock LandaleJock LandaleCenter19.3Min/game94 %Availability1,069Season min.-1.41ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Aaron WigginsAaron WigginsGuard20.2Min/game82 %Availability986Season min.-0.70ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Ryan NembhardRyan NembhardG18.3Min/game82 %Availability882Season min.-3.59ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Mouhamed GueyeMouhamed GueyeF16.2Min/game82 %Availability816Season min.-1.10ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Corey KispertCorey KispertForward17.1Min/game82 %Availability783Season min.-3.18ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jalen WilsonJalen WilsonF13.5Min/game82 %Availability599Season min.-3.99ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Kingston FlemingsKingston FlemingsGuard15.0Min/game86 %Availability576Season min.-2.59ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Buddy HieldBuddy HieldGuard13.8Min/game82 %Availability553Season min.-2.17ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Zuby EjioforZuby EjioforForward12.9Min/game86 %Availability493Season min.-2.67ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Asa NewellAsa NewellF13.9Min/game67 %Availability464Season min.-1.80ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Henri VeesaarHenri VeesaarCenter13.1Min/game50 %Availability294Season min.-3.40ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
RayJ DennisRayJ DennisG9.6Min/game49 %Availability190Season min.-2.78ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Keshon GilbertKeshon GilbertG17.6Min/game25 %Availability183Season min.-3.27ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster

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