FORECAST · NBA
Scenarios
Change one forecast input — a player's minutes or availability — and see what the model expects. Conditional, not causal.
Season2026-27Update statusUpdateddata as of 25 Sept· last recalculation 25 Sept
What do you want to ask
What was seen when this other player was in that lineup?
Season observed: 2025
What this answer does not do
- ·It does not estimate what a lineup that never played would have done.
- ·A gap between two lineups is not the cause of that gap.
- ·With few possessions it claims no performance: it shows the sample.
3 · Set the change
Conditional forecast
Player reference
Pat Connaughton
Guard · CHA
7.3
min/game if active
49 %
availability
expected games 41.2
146
season minutes
-2.39
projected impact
range -6.69 to +1.91 · confidence low
Charlotte Hornets · expected wins 39.71 · 80 % band 28–51 · seed 8 · Eastern Conference · Reference forecast as of 25 Sept 2026