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FORECAST · NBA

Scenarios

Change one forecast input — a player's minutes or availability — and see what the model expects. Conditional, not causal.

Season2026-27Update statusNot currentdata as of 20 Sept· last recalculation 20 Sept
What do you want to ask
If the minutes changeHow two players coexistSwapping one of the fiveThe paths that open up

What was seen when this other player was in that lineup?

Season observed: 2025
Which player do you start from?
Brandin PodziemskiMoses MoodyJimmy Butler IIIStephen CurryDraymond GreenBrandon WilliamsGui SantosDe'Anthony MeltonWill RichardKristaps PorzingisGary Payton IIAl HorfordGeorges NiangYaxel LendeborgLJ CryerCharles Bassey
What this answer does not do
  • ·It does not estimate what a lineup that never played would have done.
  • ·A gap between two lineups is not the cause of that gap.
  • ·With few possessions it claims no performance: it shows the sample.

2 · Pick a player

Golden State Warriors projected roster

Golden State Warriors · expected wins 42.52 · 80 % band 31–54 · seed 7 · Western Conference · Reference forecast as of 20 Sept 2026

Brandin PodziemskiBrandin PodziemskiG28.5Min/game94 %Availability1,860Season min.+1.23ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Moses MoodyMoses MoodyGuard25.4Min/game94 %Availability1,472Season min.-0.14ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jimmy Butler IIIJimmy Butler IIIForward29.6Min/game82 %Availability1,261Season min.+4.31ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Stephen CurryStephen CurryGuard28.8Min/game82 %Availability1,228Season min.+3.70ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Draymond GreenDraymond GreenForward22.1Min/game94 %Availability1,209Season min.-1.88ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Brandon WilliamsBrandon WilliamsGuard21.1Min/game82 %Availability1,045Season min.-0.13ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Gui SantosGui SantosF20.4Min/game82 %Availability1,026Season min.-0.66ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
De'Anthony MeltonDe'Anthony MeltonGuard21.3Min/game82 %Availability966Season min.-1.28ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Will RichardWill RichardG18.7Min/game82 %Availability946Season min.-1.49ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Kristaps PorzingisKristaps PorzingisC22.7Min/game67 %Availability750Season min.+1.25ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Gary Payton IIGary Payton IIGuard14.7Min/game82 %Availability667Season min.+0.21ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Al HorfordAl HorfordCenter-Forward17.6Min/game82 %Availability661Season min.-0.33ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Georges NiangGeorges NiangForward15.0Min/game70 %Availability470Season min.-2.94ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Yaxel LendeborgYaxel LendeborgPF11.7Min/game86 %Availability447Season min.-1.59ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
LJ CryerLJ CryerG13.8Min/game49 %Availability296Season min.-2.88ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Charles BasseyCharles BasseyCenter-Forward14.7Min/game49 %Availability279Season min.-0.85ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Lajae JonesLajae JonesGuard-Forward12.4Min/game50 %Availability278Season min.-3.48ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Malevy LeonsMalevy LeonsF8.9Min/game49 %Availability182Season min.-3.74ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster

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