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FORECAST · NBA

Scenarios

Change one forecast input — a player's minutes or availability — and see what the model expects. Conditional, not causal.

Season2026-27Update statusNot currentdata as of 20 Sept· last recalculation 20 Sept
What do you want to ask
If the minutes changeHow two players coexistSwapping one of the fiveThe paths that open up

Where do these two overlap and where do they split the work?

Which player do you start from?
Bam AdebayoAndrew WigginsDavion MitchellPelle LarssonGiannis AntetokounmpoTim Hardaway Jr.Bobby PortisKlay ThompsonDru SmithNikola JovicSimone FontecchioNick RichardsMyron GardnerRyan ConwellKeshad JohnsonJahmir Young
What this answer does not do
  • ·It gives no fit score: there is no measured weight saying what each action is worth.
  • ·It does not say one performs because of the other.
  • ·It describes what they already did; it does not predict what they will do together.

2 · Pick a player

Miami Heat projected roster

Miami Heat · expected wins 38.15 · 80 % band 26–50 · seed 10 · Eastern Conference · Reference forecast as of 20 Sept 2026

Bam AdebayoBam AdebayoCenter-Forward31.1Min/game94 %Availability1,938Season min.+1.43ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Andrew WigginsAndrew WigginsForward27.8Min/game94 %Availability1,641Season min.-0.40ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Davion MitchellDavion MitchellGuard25.8Min/game94 %Availability1,559Season min.-1.46ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Pelle LarssonPelle LarssonG24.2Min/game94 %Availability1,466Season min.-1.73ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Giannis AntetokounmpoGiannis AntetokounmpoForward32.4Min/game82 %Availability1,415Season min.+6.89ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Tim Hardaway Jr.Tim Hardaway Jr.Guard-Forward24.1Min/game94 %Availability1,413Season min.-1.10ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Bobby PortisBobby PortisForward22.6Min/game94 %Availability1,255Season min.-0.58ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Klay ThompsonKlay ThompsonGuard17.8Min/game82 %Availability809Season min.-3.06ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Dru SmithDru SmithG16.7Min/game82 %Availability789Season min.+0.24ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Nikola JovicNikola JovicF17.8Min/game82 %Availability781Season min.-2.20ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Simone FontecchioSimone FontecchioForward15.2Min/game82 %Availability710Season min.-2.58ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Nick RichardsNick RichardsCenter12.9Min/game67 %Availability431Season min.-4.12ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Myron GardnerMyron GardnerF11.8Min/game67 %Availability374Season min.-1.82ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Ryan ConwellRyan ConwellGuard13.4Min/game50 %Availability301Season min.-3.15ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Keshad JohnsonKeshad JohnsonF11.1Min/game49 %Availability235Season min.-1.62ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jahmir YoungJahmir YoungG7.6Min/game25 %Availability64Season min.-2.69ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Trevor KeelsTrevor KeelsGuard7.5Min/game25 %Availability59Season min.-3.04ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Vladislav GoldinVladislav GoldinC6.3Min/game25 %Availability50Season min.-2.80ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster

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