FORECAST · NBA
Scenarios
Change one forecast input — a player's minutes or availability — and see what the model expects. Conditional, not causal.
Season2026-27Update statusUpdateddata as of 25 Sept· last recalculation 25 Sept
What do you want to ask
What was seen when this other player was in that lineup?
Season observed: 2025
What this answer does not do
- ·It does not estimate what a lineup that never played would have done.
- ·A gap between two lineups is not the cause of that gap.
- ·With few possessions it claims no performance: it shows the sample.
3 · Set the change
Conditional forecast
Player reference
Jose Alvarado
Guard · NYK
19.6
min/game if active
82 %
availability
expected games 60.0
952
season minutes
-0.96
projected impact
range -3.66 to +1.74 · confidence medium
New York Knicks · expected wins 44.09 · 80 % band 32–56 · seed 6 · Eastern Conference · Reference forecast as of 25 Sept 2026