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FORECAST · NBA

Scenarios

Change one forecast input — a player's minutes or availability — and see what the model expects. Conditional, not causal.

Season2026-27Update statusNot currentdata as of 20 Sept· last recalculation 20 Sept
What do you want to ask
If the minutes changeHow two players coexistSwapping one of the fiveThe paths that open up

Where do these two overlap and where do they split the work?

Which player do you start from?
Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderChet HolmgrenCason WallaceAjay MitchellJalen WilliamsIsaiah HartensteinJaylin WilliamsJared McCainAlex CarusoKenrich WilliamsAday MaraBennett StirtzNikola TopicOtega OwehBrooks BarnhizerThomas Sorber
What this answer does not do
  • ·It gives no fit score: there is no measured weight saying what each action is worth.
  • ·It does not say one performs because of the other.
  • ·It describes what they already did; it does not predict what they will do together.

2 · Pick a player

Oklahoma City Thunder projected roster

Oklahoma City Thunder · expected wins 61.50 · 80 % band 50–73 · seed 1 · Western Conference · Reference forecast as of 20 Sept 2026

Shai Gilgeous-AlexanderShai Gilgeous-AlexanderGuard38.2Min/game94 %Availability2,370Season min.+9.86ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Chet HolmgrenChet HolmgrenCenter-Forward31.5Min/game94 %Availability1,954Season min.+3.97ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Cason WallaceCason WallaceG28.2Min/game94 %Availability1,789Season min.+1.31ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Ajay MitchellAjay MitchellG26.6Min/game82 %Availability1,334Season min.+0.77ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jalen WilliamsJalen WilliamsGuard-Forward28.5Min/game82 %Availability1,298Season min.+2.52ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Isaiah HartensteinIsaiah HartensteinCenter-Forward25.2Min/game82 %Availability1,145Season min.+2.11ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jaylin WilliamsJaylin WilliamsF22.7Min/game82 %Availability1,119Season min.+1.94ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jared McCainJared McCainG18.4Min/game82 %Availability908Season min.-1.20ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Alex CarusoAlex CarusoGuard18.2Min/game82 %Availability783Season min.+0.64ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Kenrich WilliamsKenrich WilliamsG14.8Min/game82 %Availability620Season min.-1.17ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Aday MaraAday MaraCenter14.1Min/game86 %Availability538Season min.-2.36ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Bennett StirtzBennett StirtzGuard13.7Min/game86 %Availability523Season min.-2.19ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Nikola TopicNikola TopicG15.5Min/game49 %Availability324Season min.-2.47ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Otega OwehOtega OwehSG13.3Min/game50 %Availability298Season min.-2.98ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Brooks BarnhizerBrooks BarnhizerF9.8Min/game49 %Availability221Season min.-4.26ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Thomas SorberThomas SorberC15.3Min/game0 %Availability0Season min.-2.80ImpactPick−5 min+5 minalready outCertain on roster
Josh DixJosh Dix13.2Min/game0 %Availability0Season min.-3.48ImpactPick−5 min+5 minalready outCertain on roster

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