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FORECAST · NBA

Scenarios

Change one forecast input — a player's minutes or availability — and see what the model expects. Conditional, not causal.

Season2026-27Update statusNot currentdata as of 20 Sept· last recalculation 20 Sept
What do you want to ask
If the minutes changeHow two players coexistSwapping one of the fiveThe paths that open up

What was seen when this other player was in that lineup?

Season observed: 2025
Which player do you start from?
Victor WembanyamaStephon CastleDe'Aaron FoxDevin VassellJulian ChampagnieDylan HarperKeldon JohnsonTobias HarrisHarrison BarnesLuke KornetCarter BryantJayden QuaintanceTarris Reed Jr.Ja'Kobi GillespieMaliq BrownJordan McLaughlin
What this answer does not do
  • ·It does not estimate what a lineup that never played would have done.
  • ·A gap between two lineups is not the cause of that gap.
  • ·With few possessions it claims no performance: it shows the sample.

2 · Pick a player

San Antonio Spurs projected roster

San Antonio Spurs · expected wins 54.10 · 80 % band 42–66 · seed 3 · Western Conference · Reference forecast as of 20 Sept 2026

Victor WembanyamaVictor WembanyamaF34.9Min/game94 %Availability2,146Season min.+9.55ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Stephon CastleStephon CastleG30.2Min/game94 %Availability1,907Season min.+0.76ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
De'Aaron FoxDe'Aaron FoxGuard30.0Min/game94 %Availability1,853Season min.+1.27ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Devin VassellDevin VassellG28.9Min/game94 %Availability1,779Season min.-0.12ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Julian ChampagnieJulian ChampagnieForward26.4Min/game94 %Availability1,694Season min.+0.19ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Dylan HarperDylan HarperG24.1Min/game94 %Availability1,452Season min.+1.31ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Keldon JohnsonKeldon JohnsonF23.0Min/game94 %Availability1,415Season min.-0.27ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Tobias HarrisTobias HarrisForward24.8Min/game94 %Availability1,359Season min.-0.23ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Harrison BarnesHarrison BarnesForward22.3Min/game94 %Availability1,280Season min.-1.14ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Luke KornetLuke KornetC19.9Min/game82 %Availability949Season min.+1.43ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Carter BryantCarter BryantF14.5Min/game82 %Availability699Season min.-2.78ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jayden QuaintanceJayden QuaintanceForward14.8Min/game86 %Availability568Season min.-3.63ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Tarris Reed Jr.Tarris Reed Jr.Center12.2Min/game86 %Availability467Season min.-2.59ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Ja'Kobi GillespieJa'Kobi GillespieGuard12.3Min/game50 %Availability277Season min.-3.19ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Maliq BrownMaliq BrownForward11.9Min/game50 %Availability267Season min.-3.15ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Jordan McLaughlinJordan McLaughlinGuard9.1Min/game49 %Availability193Season min.-1.91ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
David Jones GarciaDavid Jones GarciaF8.3Min/game25 %Availability72Season min.-2.90ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Emanuel MillerEmanuel MillerF8.4Min/game25 %Availability68Season min.-2.65ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster
Harrison IngramHarrison IngramF7.0Min/game25 %Availability57Season min.-2.98ImpactPick−5 min+5 minSits outCertain on roster

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