Toronto Raptors – Detroit Pistons · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 7 March 2018

TOR121–119DET

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 97% of NBA games since 2017

· The win probability swung between the two teams 34 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DET winsTOR wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DET leads and falls when TOR does.

This is how the game was decided.

DeMar DeRozan decided it, the Toronto Raptors player with the most points (42, with 4 rebounds and 6 assists; +9 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Kyle Lowry's (+13). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Detroit Pistons 119-121 Toronto Raptors (March 7, 2018) was hit by Fred VanVleet: a jump shot with 1.1 s left in overtime, putting the Toronto Raptors up 121-119. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Detroit Pistons 119-121 Toronto Raptors (March 7, 2018) was a 11-0 run by the Detroit Pistons in the second quarter (from 9:29 to 6:37), from 26-29 to 37-29. The Toronto Raptors' best was a 8-0 run in the third quarter (from 3:26 to 2:25), from 75-78 to 83-78.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Fred VanVleet makes 20-foot jumper (DeMar DeRozan assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Fred VanVleet decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 1.1 seconds left in overtime 1, and the opponent never led again.

It is the only game he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games VanVleet decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

7 March 2018 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:400975712:704; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2017-18 regular season, not this game.

Toronto Raptors

Kyle Lowry drew 0.49 charges per game over his 78 games.
He ranks 2 of 362 in the league.
Jonas Valančiūnas contested 11.0 shots per game over his 77 games.
He ranks 17 of 362 in the league.
Jakob Poeltl contested 10.0 shots per game over his 82 games.
He ranks 28 of 362 in the league.

Detroit Pistons

Andre Drummond deflected 3.2 passes per game over his 78 games.
He ranks 8 of 362 in the league.
Anthony Tolliver drew 0.23 charges per game over his 79 games.
He ranks 14 of 362 in the league.
Blake Griffin drew 0.21 charges per game over his 58 games.
He ranks 16 of 362 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Detroit Pistons have won 71 of their 117 games against the Toronto Raptors.

71-46record of the Detroit Pistons · NBA 1995-96 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

2-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1995-96 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

17.769

87.4% of capacity

Little Caesars Arena · Detroit

Scoring

240

combined points

27.3 above the season average (212.7)