Win probability changed during the game. · 3 January 2019
HOU135–134GSW
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended
It was more exciting than 92% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
↑ GSW winsHOU wins ↓
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when GSW leads and falls when HOU does.
Game context
Attendance
19.596
108.5% of capacity
Chase Center · San Francisco
Scoring
269
combined points
46.6 above the season average (222.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.
34 calls reviewed3 errors admitted by the NBA
Violation: Kicked Ball · 00:05.5
Stephen Curry → Rockets
Curry (GSW) makes no overt action to kick the ball as Harden throws the ball off of Curry's knee.
Turnover: Stepped out of Bounds · 00:30.9
Kevin Durant → Rockets
Durant (GSW) is out of bounds when he makes contact with the ball.
Foul: Personal · 00:33.5
James Harden → Kevin Durant
MOB shows Harden (HOU) makes contact with Durant's (GSW) arm and affects his ability to maintain control of the ball.
