SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 4 January 2019

IND119–116CHI
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 96% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 38 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHI winsIND wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when IND does.

Game context

Attendance
21.284
101.8% of capacity
United Center · Chicago
Scoring
235
combined points
12.6 above the season average (222.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

42 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: Traveling · 00:20.2
Zach LaVine → Pacers
LaVine (CHI) moves his pivot foot.