Win probability changed during the game. · 4 January 2019
It was more exciting than 96% of NBA games since 2017
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 38 times
- · It stayed close for almost the whole game
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when IND does.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

