SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 11 January 2019

ATL123–121PHI
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 86% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 23 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ PHI winsATL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when PHI leads and falls when ATL does.

Game context

Attendance
20.487
102.4% of capacity
Xfinity Mobile Arena · Philadelphia
Scoring
244
combined points
21.6 above the season average (222.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

21 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors