SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 19 January 2019

SAC103–101DET
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 73% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DET winsSAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DET leads and falls when SAC does.

Game context

Attendance
15.377
75.6% of capacity
Little Caesars Arena · Detroit
Scoring
204
combined points
18.4 below the season average (222.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

27 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 01:21.3
Zaza Pachulia → Iman Shumpert
Pachulia (DET) firms up on his left leg in legal screening position as he absorbs the contact from the front of Shumpert's (SAC) left shoulder during the screen.
Stoppage: Out-of-Bounds · 01:52.9
Blake Griffin → Kings
Griffin's (DET) left foot steps out-of-bounds along the baseline and he fails to re-establish himself inbounds prior to making contact with the ball.