SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 30 January 2019

MEM97–99MIN
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 90% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 20 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIN winsMEM wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIN leads and falls when MEM does.

Game context

Attendance
13.615
75.5% of capacity
Target Center · Minneapolis
Scoring
196
combined points
26.4 below the season average (222.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

41 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:01.3
Kyle Anderson → Jerryd Bayless
Anderson (MEM) makes contact with Bayless' (MIN) arm during his shooting motion that affects his jump shot attempt.
Foul: Loose Ball · 00:15.7
Marc Gasol → Taj Gibson
RLB shows Gasol (MEM) holds both of Gibson's (MIN) arms as the shot is released and remains engaged as they each attempt to retrieve the rebound.