SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 17 March 2019

BKN116–119LAC
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 80% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ LAC winsBKN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when LAC leads and falls when BKN does.

Game context

Attendance
17.247
95.8% of capacity
Intuit Dome · Inglewood
Scoring
235
combined points
12.6 above the season average (222.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

29 calls reviewed6 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: Traveling · 00:38.8
DeMarre Carroll → Clippers
Carroll (BKN) splits his feet.
Foul: Away from Play · 00:44.1
DeMarre Carroll → Lou Williams
MOB and RAR show Carroll (BKN) places two hands to Williams' (LAC) body and grabs and pulls his jersey during the inbound.
Foul: Away from Play · 00:44.1
DeMarre Carroll → Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
MOB shows Carroll (BKN) grabs Gilgeous-Alexander's (LAC) arm and the contact affects his FOM during the inbound.
Foul: Offensive · 00:59.4
Jarrett Allen → Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
LLB shows Allen (BKN) establishes himself in a screening position from a wide stance and makes leg to leg contact with Gilgeous-Alexander (LAC) on the pick.