SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 24 March 2019

CHA115–114TOR
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 64% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ TOR winsCHA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when TOR leads and falls when CHA does.

Game context

Attendance
19.800
100% of capacity
Scotiabank Arena · Toronto
Scoring
229
combined points
6.6 above the season average (222.4)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

14 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors