SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 10 November 2019

DEN100–98MIN
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 95% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 16 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIN winsDEN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIN leads and falls when DEN does.

Game context

Attendance
13.553
75.2% of capacity
Target Center · Minneapolis
Scoring
198
combined points
25.6 below the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

35 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:00.9
Mason Plumlee → Josh Okogie
Plumlee (DEN) makes contact to the body of Okogie (MIN) during his shooting motion that affects his jump shot attempt.
Violation: Kicked Ball · 00:31.8
Karl-Anthony Towns → Nuggets
Towns (MIN) extends his foot and initiates contact to the ball in a distinct kicking motion, interfering with the pass' progress.