Win probability changed during the game. · 23 November 2019
It was more exciting than 76% of NBA games since 2017
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHA leads and falls when CHI does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · CHI
LaVine · Carter · Satoransky · White · Arcidiacono
Closing lineup · CHA
Graham · Bridges · Rozier · Biyombo · Williams
Zach LaVine
35′ · +15
Wendell Carter Jr.
34′ · +7
Tomas Satoransky
28′ · +13
Lauri Markkanen
24′ · 0
Shaquille Harrison
14′ · +6
Coby White
34′ · -5
Kris Dunn
20′ · -12
Daniel Gafford
14′ · -6
Thaddeus Young
14′ · -12
Ryan Arcidiacono
24′ · -1
Devonte' Graham
39′ · -10
Miles Bridges
35′ · +2
Terry Rozier
34′ · -7
Cody Zeller
25′ · -24
P.J. Washington
22′ · -5
Nicolas Batum
16′ · +11
Bismack Biyombo
23′ · +23
Malik Monk
19′ · +3
Marvin Williams
22′ · +4
Cody Martin
5′ · -2
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and CHA.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Chicago Bulls
Harrison, Markkanen, Carter, Satoransky, and LaVine played 11.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Arcidiacono, Carter, White, Satoransky, and LaVine played 7.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 9 points.
Markkanen, Carter, White, Satoransky, and LaVine played 4.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Charlotte Hornets
Rozier, Bridges, Graham, Washington, and Zeller played 8.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Williams, Rozier, Bridges, Graham, and Zeller played 5.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Williams, Monk, Graham, Batum, and Biyombo played 5.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 10 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Chicago Bulls
Dunn, Arcidiacono, Carter, White, and Young played 4.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Markkanen, White, Gafford, Satoransky, and LaVine played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Dunn, Arcidiacono, White, Gafford, and Young played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Dunn, White, Gafford, Young, and LaVine played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Dunn, Arcidiacono, Carter, White, and LaVine played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Dunn, Arcidiacono, Markkanen, Carter, and White played 2.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Dunn, Arcidiacono, Harrison, Gafford, and Young played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Dunn, Markkanen, White, Gafford, and LaVine played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Charlotte Hornets
Williams, Rozier, Bridges, Graham, and Biyombo played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Rozier, Bridges, Graham, Washington, and Biyombo played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Rozier, Bridges, Martin, Washington, and Zeller played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Williams, Monk, Bridges, Graham, and Biyombo played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Monk, Graham, Washington, Batum, and Biyombo played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Rozier, Monk, Bridges, Graham, and Zeller played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Rozier, Graham, Martin, Washington, and Zeller played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Williams, Bridges, Graham, Batum, and Zeller played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Rozier, Monk, Bridges, Batum, and Biyombo played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Rozier, Monk, Washington, Batum, and Biyombo played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Williams, Rozier, Monk, Batum, and Biyombo played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

