SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 23 November 2019

CHI116–115CHA
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 76% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHA winsCHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHA leads and falls when CHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHI

Zach LaVine
Wendell Carter Jr.
Tomas Satoransky
Coby White
Ryan Arcidiacono

LaVine · Carter · Satoransky · White · Arcidiacono

Closing lineup · CHA

Devonte' Graham
Miles Bridges
Terry Rozier
Bismack Biyombo
Marvin Williams

Graham · Bridges · Rozier · Biyombo · Williams

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CHI
Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine

35′ · +15

Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr.

34′ · +7

Tomas Satoransky

Tomas Satoransky

28′ · +13

Lauri Markkanen

Lauri Markkanen

24′ · 0

Shaquille Harrison

Shaquille Harrison

14′ · +6

Coby White

Coby White

34′ · -5

Kris Dunn

Kris Dunn

20′ · -12

Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford

14′ · -6

Thaddeus Young

Thaddeus Young

14′ · -12

Ryan Arcidiacono

Ryan Arcidiacono

24′ · -1

CHA
Devonte' Graham

Devonte' Graham

39′ · -10

Miles Bridges

Miles Bridges

35′ · +2

Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier

34′ · -7

Cody Zeller

Cody Zeller

25′ · -24

P.J. Washington

P.J. Washington

22′ · -5

Nicolas Batum

Nicolas Batum

16′ · +11

Bismack Biyombo

Bismack Biyombo

23′ · +23

Malik Monk

Malik Monk

19′ · +3

Marvin Williams

Marvin Williams

22′ · +4

Cody Martin

Cody Martin

5′ · -2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and CHA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Chicago Bulls

  • Harrison, Markkanen, Carter, Satoransky, and LaVine played 11.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Arcidiacono, Carter, White, Satoransky, and LaVine played 7.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Markkanen, Carter, White, Satoransky, and LaVine played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Charlotte Hornets

  • Rozier, Bridges, Graham, Washington, and Zeller played 8.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Williams, Rozier, Bridges, Graham, and Zeller played 5.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Williams, Monk, Graham, Batum, and Biyombo played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Chicago Bulls

  • Dunn, Arcidiacono, Carter, White, and Young played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Markkanen, White, Gafford, Satoransky, and LaVine played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Dunn, Arcidiacono, White, Gafford, and Young played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Dunn, White, Gafford, Young, and LaVine played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Dunn, Arcidiacono, Carter, White, and LaVine played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Dunn, Arcidiacono, Markkanen, Carter, and White played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Dunn, Arcidiacono, Harrison, Gafford, and Young played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Dunn, Markkanen, White, Gafford, and LaVine played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

Charlotte Hornets

  • Williams, Rozier, Bridges, Graham, and Biyombo played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Rozier, Bridges, Graham, Washington, and Biyombo played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Rozier, Bridges, Martin, Washington, and Zeller played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Williams, Monk, Bridges, Graham, and Biyombo played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Monk, Graham, Washington, Batum, and Biyombo played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Rozier, Monk, Bridges, Graham, and Zeller played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Rozier, Graham, Martin, Washington, and Zeller played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Williams, Bridges, Graham, Batum, and Zeller played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Rozier, Monk, Bridges, Batum, and Biyombo played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Rozier, Monk, Washington, Batum, and Biyombo played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Williams, Rozier, Monk, Batum, and Biyombo played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
17.891
93.8% of capacity
Spectrum Center · Charlotte
Scoring
231
combined points
7.4 above the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

18 calls reviewed3 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 01:21.8
Terry Rozier → Wendell Carter Jr.
Rozier (CHA) makes clean hand-on-ball contact to dislodge the ball from Carter Jr. (CHI) on his shot attempt.
Foul: Personal · 01:33.1
Miles Bridges → Wendell Carter Jr.
Bridges (CHA) initiates the contact and drives through Carter Jr.'s (CHI) body, who is established in a legal screening position.
Turnover: 5 Second Inbound · 01:47.0
Zach LaVine → Hornets
LaVine (CHI) fails to inbound the ball within five seconds.