SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 27 November 2019

LAC121–119MEM
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 88% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 18 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MEM winsLAC wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MEM leads and falls when LAC does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · LAC

Patrick Beverley
Paul George
Ivica Zubac
Maurice Harkless
Montrezl Harrell

Beverley · George · Zubac · Harkless · Harrell

Closing lineup · MEM

Jae Crowder
Ja Morant
Jaren Jackson Jr.
Brandon Clarke
Solomon Hill

Crowder · Morant · Jackson · Clarke · Hill

Q1Q2Q3Q4
LAC
Patrick Beverley

Patrick Beverley

34′ · +4

Paul George

Paul George

29′ · +2

Rodney McGruder

Rodney McGruder

23′ · -3

Ivica Zubac

Ivica Zubac

16′ · -9

Maurice Harkless

Maurice Harkless

12′ · -7

Lou Williams

Lou Williams

32′ · +8

JaMychal Green

JaMychal Green

30′ · +4

Montrezl Harrell

Montrezl Harrell

30′ · +8

Terance Mann

Terance Mann

14′ · -1

Jerome Robinson

Jerome Robinson

14′ · -1

Patrick Patterson

Patrick Patterson

7′ · +5

MEM
Jae Crowder

Jae Crowder

37′ · +4

Jonas Valanciunas

Jonas Valanciunas

34′ · +14

Ja Morant

Ja Morant

34′ · +2

Jaren Jackson Jr.

Jaren Jackson Jr.

30′ · -15

Dillon Brooks

Dillon Brooks

26′ · +8

Grayson Allen

Grayson Allen

18′ · -6

Tyus Jones

Tyus Jones

14′ · -4

Brandon Clarke

Brandon Clarke

18′ · -20

Marko Guduric

Marko Guduric

9′ · -3

Solomon Hill

Solomon Hill

19′ · +10

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAC and MEM.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

LA Clippers

  • Williams, Harrell, Beverley, George, and Green played 10.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Zubac, Beverley, George, Harkless, and McGruder played 8.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Williams, Harrell, Robinson, Mann, and Green played 7.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Brooks, Jackson, Morant, Valanciunas, and Crowder played 11.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Brooks, Morant, Valanciunas, Crowder, and Hill played 6.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Jones, Allen, Jackson, Clarke, and Crowder played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

LA Clippers

  • Williams, Harrell, Robinson, Mann, and Patterson played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Williams, Zubac, Beverley, Green, and McGruder played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Zubac, Beverley, George, Green, and McGruder played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Williams, Harrell, Beverley, George, and McGruder played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Beverley, George, Patterson, Green, and McGruder played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Williams, Zubac, Beverley, Harkless, and McGruder played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Harrell, Beverley, George, Harkless, and McGruder played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Williams, Harrell, Mann, Green, and McGruder played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Harrell, Beverley, George, Green, and McGruder played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Williams, Harrell, Robinson, George, and Green played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Memphis Grizzlies

  • Jackson, Morant, Valanciunas, Crowder, and Hill played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Jones, Allen, Clarke, Guduric, and Valanciunas played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brooks, Morant, Clarke, Guduric, and Valanciunas played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Jones, Allen, Valanciunas, Crowder, and Hill played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Brooks, Jackson, Morant, Clarke, and Hill played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Brooks, Jackson, Morant, Clarke, and Crowder played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Allen, Jackson, Morant, Crowder, and Hill played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brooks, Morant, Guduric, Valanciunas, and Hill played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jones, Allen, Jackson, Clarke, and Guduric played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Jones, Allen, Jackson, Valanciunas, and Crowder played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Allen, Jackson, Morant, Clarke, and Crowder played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
16.721
94% of capacity
FedExForum · Memphis
Scoring
240
combined points
16.4 above the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

18 calls reviewed3 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Shooting · 00:05.2
Solomon Hill → Lou Williams
Hill (MEM) brings his hand down and makes contact to Williams' (LAC) left wrist after his gather, affecting his driving shot attempt.
Turnover: 8 Second Violation · 00:48.8
Grizzlies → Clippers
Morant (MEM) fails to establish position in the frontcourt within eight seconds.
Foul: Shooting · 01:43.4
Montrezl Harrell → Ja Morant
Harrell (LAC) makes marginal contact to the front of Morant (MEM) that does not affect his driving shot attempt.