Win probability changed during the game. · 27 November 2019
It was more exciting than 88% of NBA games since 2017
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 18 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MEM leads and falls when LAC does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · LAC
Beverley · George · Zubac · Harkless · Harrell
Closing lineup · MEM
Crowder · Morant · Jackson · Clarke · Hill
Patrick Beverley
34′ · +4
Paul George
29′ · +2
Rodney McGruder
23′ · -3
Ivica Zubac
16′ · -9
Maurice Harkless
12′ · -7
Lou Williams
32′ · +8
JaMychal Green
30′ · +4
Montrezl Harrell
30′ · +8
Terance Mann
14′ · -1
Jerome Robinson
14′ · -1
Patrick Patterson
7′ · +5
Jae Crowder
37′ · +4
Jonas Valanciunas
34′ · +14
Ja Morant
34′ · +2
Jaren Jackson Jr.
30′ · -15
Dillon Brooks
26′ · +8
Grayson Allen
18′ · -6
Tyus Jones
14′ · -4
Brandon Clarke
18′ · -20
Marko Guduric
9′ · -3
Solomon Hill
19′ · +10
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. LAC and MEM.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
LA Clippers
Williams, Harrell, Beverley, George, and Green played 10.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Zubac, Beverley, George, Harkless, and McGruder played 8.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Williams, Harrell, Robinson, Mann, and Green played 7.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Memphis Grizzlies
Brooks, Jackson, Morant, Valanciunas, and Crowder played 11.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Brooks, Morant, Valanciunas, Crowder, and Hill played 6.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Jones, Allen, Jackson, Clarke, and Crowder played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
LA Clippers
Williams, Harrell, Robinson, Mann, and Patterson played 4.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Williams, Zubac, Beverley, Green, and McGruder played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Zubac, Beverley, George, Green, and McGruder played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Williams, Harrell, Beverley, George, and McGruder played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Beverley, George, Patterson, Green, and McGruder played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Williams, Zubac, Beverley, Harkless, and McGruder played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Harrell, Beverley, George, Harkless, and McGruder played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Williams, Harrell, Mann, Green, and McGruder played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Harrell, Beverley, George, Green, and McGruder played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Williams, Harrell, Robinson, George, and Green played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Memphis Grizzlies
Jackson, Morant, Valanciunas, Crowder, and Hill played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Jones, Allen, Clarke, Guduric, and Valanciunas played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Brooks, Morant, Clarke, Guduric, and Valanciunas played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Jones, Allen, Valanciunas, Crowder, and Hill played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Brooks, Jackson, Morant, Clarke, and Hill played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Brooks, Jackson, Morant, Clarke, and Crowder played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Allen, Jackson, Morant, Crowder, and Hill played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Brooks, Morant, Guduric, Valanciunas, and Hill played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Jones, Allen, Jackson, Clarke, and Guduric played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Jones, Allen, Jackson, Valanciunas, and Crowder played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Allen, Jackson, Morant, Clarke, and Crowder played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

