SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 9 December 2019

DET105–103NOP
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 83% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ NOP winsDET wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when NOP leads and falls when DET does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · DET

Blake Griffin
Bruce Brown
Andre Drummond
Langston Galloway
Thon Maker

Griffin · Brown · Drummond · Galloway · Maker

Closing lineup · NOP

Brandon Ingram
JJ Redick
Jaxson Hayes
Lonzo Ball
Josh Hart

Ingram · Redick · Hayes · Ball · Hart

Q1Q2Q3Q4
DET
Blake Griffin

Blake Griffin

34′ · +2

Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown

26′ · -2

Luke Kennard

Luke Kennard

25′ · +4

Andre Drummond

Andre Drummond

25′ · +2

Tony Snell

Tony Snell

24′ · -3

Langston Galloway

Langston Galloway

21′ · +8

Derrick Rose

Derrick Rose

28′ · +2

Christian Wood

Christian Wood

15′ · +2

Svi Mykhailiuk

Svi Mykhailiuk

20′ · -3

Markieff Morris

Markieff Morris

19′ · -1

Thon Maker

Thon Maker

3′ · -1

NOP
Brandon Ingram

Brandon Ingram

37′ · -2

Jrue Holiday

Jrue Holiday

35′ · -1

Kenrich Williams

Kenrich Williams

32′ · -2

Jahlil Okafor

Jahlil Okafor

22′ · 0

JJ Redick

JJ Redick

21′ · -2

Jaxson Hayes

Jaxson Hayes

21′ · -6

Lonzo Ball

Lonzo Ball

30′ · -3

Josh Hart

Josh Hart

30′ · +6

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

6′ · -4

Nicolo Melli

Nicolo Melli

5′ · +4

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. DET and NOP.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Detroit Pistons

  • Kennard, Brown, Griffin, Drummond, and Snell played 13.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Wood, Mykhailiuk, Rose, Morris, and Galloway played 5.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Wood, Brown, Mykhailiuk, Rose, and Griffin played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Okafor, Ingram, Williams, Redick, and Holiday played 8.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Okafor, Ingram, Ball, Hart, and Holiday played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Okafor, Ball, Hart, Williams, and Holiday played 5.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Detroit Pistons

  • Maker, Mykhailiuk, Rose, Morris, and Galloway played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Brown, Griffin, Morris, Snell, and Galloway played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Kennard, Brown, Rose, Griffin, and Drummond played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Wood, Mykhailiuk, Rose, Griffin, and Galloway played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Kennard, Rose, Griffin, Drummond, and Galloway played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Wood, Kennard, Mykhailiuk, Rose, and Morris played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Brown, Mykhailiuk, Griffin, Morris, and Snell played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Kennard, Rose, Griffin, Drummond, and Snell played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Ingram, Ball, Hart, Williams, and Hayes played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Ingram, Williams, Hayes, Redick, and Holiday played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Ingram, Hart, Williams, Melli, and Redick played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Ball, Hart, Hayes, Alexander-Walker, and Holiday played 3.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Ingram, Ball, Hart, Hayes, and Holiday played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Ingram, Ball, Williams, Hayes, and Redick played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Ingram, Williams, Melli, Redick, and Holiday played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Ingram, Ball, Hart, Hayes, and Alexander-Walker played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Okafor, Ball, Hart, Alexander-Walker, and Holiday played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
13.694
81.2% of capacity
Smoothie King Center · New Orleans
Scoring
208
combined points
15.6 below the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

12 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors