SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 18 December 2019

CHI110–109WAS
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 89% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ WAS winsCHI wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when WAS leads and falls when CHI does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHI

Zach LaVine
Wendell Carter Jr.
Tomas Satoransky
Ryan Arcidiacono
Shaquille Harrison

LaVine · Carter · Satoransky · Arcidiacono · Harrison

Closing lineup · WAS

Bradley Beal
Davis Bertans
Isaiah Thomas
Anžejs Pasečņiks
Ish Smith

Beal · Bertans · Thomas · Pasečņiks · Smith

Q1Q2Q3Q4OT1
CHI
Zach LaVine

Zach LaVine

44′ · +9

Wendell Carter Jr.

Wendell Carter Jr.

39′ · +3

Lauri Markkanen

Lauri Markkanen

37′ · +17

Kris Dunn

Kris Dunn

35′ · +4

Tomas Satoransky

Tomas Satoransky

34′ · +6

Thaddeus Young

Thaddeus Young

20′ · -12

Coby White

Coby White

18′ · -9

Daniel Gafford

Daniel Gafford

11′ · -6

Denzel Valentine

Denzel Valentine

8′ · -6

Ryan Arcidiacono

Ryan Arcidiacono

14′ · -2

Shaquille Harrison

Shaquille Harrison

6′ · +1

WAS
Bradley Beal

Bradley Beal

41′ · -11

Davis Bertans

Davis Bertans

37′ · -6

Isaiah Thomas

Isaiah Thomas

31′ · -4

Ian Mahinmi

Ian Mahinmi

24′ · -14

Isaac Bonga

Isaac Bonga

20′ · -16

Anžejs Pasečņiks

Anžejs Pasečņiks

28′ · +15

Ish Smith

Ish Smith

33′ · +13

Troy Brown Jr.

Troy Brown Jr.

22′ · +5

Admiral Schofield

Admiral Schofield

18′ · +3

Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews

12′ · +10

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHI and WAS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Chicago Bulls

  • Dunn, Markkanen, Carter, Satoransky, and LaVine played 25.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Dunn, Arcidiacono, Markkanen, Carter, and LaVine played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Harrison, Markkanen, White, Young, and LaVine played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Washington Wizards

  • Mahinmi, Bonga, Bertans, Thomas, and Beal played 13.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 16 points.

  • Pasečņiks, Brown, Schofield, Mathews, and Smith played 9.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 13 points.

  • Mahinmi, Smith, Bertans, Thomas, and Beal played 6.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Chicago Bulls

  • Valentine, Arcidiacono, Carter, White, and Young played 2.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Valentine, Arcidiacono, White, Gafford, and Young played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Dunn, White, Gafford, Young, and LaVine played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Harrison, Markkanen, Carter, Satoransky, and LaVine played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • White, Gafford, Young, Satoransky, and LaVine played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Valentine, Carter, White, Young, and Satoransky played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Arcidiacono, Markkanen, Carter, Satoransky, and LaVine played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Valentine, Arcidiacono, Carter, Young, and Satoransky played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Washington Wizards

  • Pasečņiks, Bonga, Bertans, Thomas, and Beal played 6.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Pasečņiks, Brown, Schofield, Smith, and Beal played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Pasečņiks, Smith, Bertans, Thomas, and Beal played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Pasečņiks, Brown, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Mahinmi, Brown, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Schofield, Smith, Bertans, Thomas, and Beal played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Mahinmi, Brown, Schofield, Mathews, and Smith played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Mahinmi, Brown, Mathews, Smith, and Bertans played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
14.987
73.7% of capacity
Capital One Arena · Washington
Scoring
219
combined points
4.6 below the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

33 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Offensive · 01:01.2
Wendell Carter Jr. → Davis Bertans
Carter Jr. (CHI) does not establish a legal screening position in Bertans' (WAS) path and continues to move into his body affecting his ability to defend.
Foul: Personal · 01:52
Isaiah Thomas → Zach LaVine
Thomas (WAS) grabs and pulls LaVine's (CHI) off-arm at the end of the drive and the contact restricts his ability to gather the ball.