Indiana Pacers – Miami Heat · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 27 December 2019

IND112–113MIA

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 86% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 32 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIA winsIND wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIA leads and falls when IND does.

This is how the game was decided.

Jimmy Butler III decided it, the Miami Heat player with the most points (20, with 9 rebounds and 6 assists; +3 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Kelly Olynyk's (+12). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Miami Heat 113-112 Indiana Pacers (December 27, 2019) was hit by Goran Dragić: a jump shot with 6.8 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Miami Heat up 113-112. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Miami Heat 113-112 Indiana Pacers (December 27, 2019) was a 9-0 run by the Miami Heat between the third quarter and the fourth quarter, from 82-82 to 91-82. The Indiana Pacers' best was a 9-0 run in the fourth quarter (from 5:56 to 4:21), from 97-102 to 106-102.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Goran Dragic makes 9-foot two point shot (Bam Adebayo assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Goran Dragić decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 6.8 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 2 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Dragić decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

27 December 2019 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401161112:584; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · IND

Warren · Holiday · Lamb · Turner · McDermott

Closing lineup · MIA

Adebayo · Butler · Nunn · Jones · Dragic

Q1Q2Q3Q4

IND

Domantas Sabonis

31′ · -5

T.J. Warren

31′ · +2

Aaron Holiday

30′ · +4

Jeremy Lamb

30′ · +4

Myles Turner

26′ · +7

Justin Holiday

30′ · -2

T.J. McConnell

18′ · -5

Goga Bitadze

4′ · 0

Edmond Sumner

18′ · -5

Doug McDermott

21′ · -5

MIA

Bam Adebayo

36′ · +2

Jimmy Butler III

33′ · +3

Duncan Robinson

28′ · -6

Kendrick Nunn

28′ · +3

Meyers Leonard

19′ · -8

Derrick Jones Jr.

27′ · -3

Goran Dragic

29′ · +1

Tyler Herro

22′ · +1

Kelly Olynyk

17′ · +12

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. IND and MIA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Indiana Pacers

Turner, Sabonis, Holiday, Lamb, and Warren played 13.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Sabonis, Sumner, Holiday, McDermott, and McConnell played 10.1 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Turner, Holiday, Lamb, Holiday, and Warren played 7.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

Miami Heat

Adebayo, Robinson, Nunn, Butler, and Leonard played 14.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Jones, Adebayo, Herro, Dragic, and Olynyk played 9.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Jones, Adebayo, Robinson, Herro, and Dragic played 5.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Indiana Pacers

Sabonis, Holiday, Lamb, McDermott, and Warren played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Sumner, Bitadze, Holiday, Warren, and McConnell played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Sumner, Bitadze, Holiday, McDermott, and McConnell played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Turner, Holiday, Lamb, Holiday, and McDermott played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Turner, Sumner, Holiday, Warren, and McConnell played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Sabonis, Sumner, Holiday, Holiday, and McDermott played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Sabonis, Lamb, Holiday, McDermott, and McConnell played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

Miami Heat

Adebayo, Robinson, Nunn, Dragic, and Butler played 4.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Jones, Nunn, Dragic, Butler, and Olynyk played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Jones, Herro, Dragic, Butler, and Olynyk played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Jones, Herro, Dragic, Butler, and Leonard played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Adebayo, Robinson, Nunn, Herro, and Butler played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Jones, Robinson, Nunn, Butler, and Leonard played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Jones, Nunn, Dragic, Butler, and Leonard played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Jones, Nunn, Herro, Butler, and Olynyk played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Bam Adebayo covered 4.22 km, more than anyone in the game.

Jimmy Butler III touched the ball 71 times, a game high.
Bam Adebayo made 53 passes, a game high.
Bam Adebayo had 19 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Indiana Pacers

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Justin Holiday	3.88	7.3	30	21
T.J. Warren	3.73	6.8	43	27
Aaron Holiday	3.56	6.8	63	46
Jeremy Lamb	3.51	6.6	41	26
Domantas Sabonis	3.48	6.4	63	51
Myles Turner	3.04	6.6	26	17
Doug McDermott	2.74	7.4	22	11
T.J. McConnell	2.37	7.4	45	34
Edmond Sumner	2.28	7.3	18	10
Goga Bitadze	0.53	7.3	4	4

Miami Heat

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Bam Adebayo	4.22	6.7	70	53
Jimmy Butler III	3.91	6.7	71	45
Derrick Jones Jr.	3.49	7.3	34	23
Duncan Robinson	3.46	7.0	32	20
Goran Dragic	3.41	6.6	70

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2019-20 regular season, not this game.

Indiana Pacers

Domantas Sabonis contested 11.3 shots per game over his 62 games.
He ranks 19 of 352 in the league.
T.J. Warren deflected 2.9 passes per game over his 67 games.
He ranks 19 of 352 in the league.
Myles Turner contested 11.1 shots per game over his 62 games.
He ranks 21 of 352 in the league.

Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler III deflected 3.4 passes per game over his 58 games.
He ranks 7 of 352 in the league.
Bam Adebayo recovered 1.3 loose balls per game over his 72 games.
He ranks 18 of 352 in the league.
Kelly Olynyk drew 0.18 charges per game over his 66 games.
He ranks 23 of 352 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Miami Heat have won 77 of their 166 games against the Indiana Pacers.

77-89record of the Miami Heat · NBA 1988-89 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-2in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1988-89 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

19.767

100.9% of capacity

Kaseya Center · Miami

Scoring

225

combined points

1.4 above the season average (223.6)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

19 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Shooting · 00:31.9

Kendrick Nunn → Jeremy Lamb

Nunn (MIA) makes contact to Lamb's (IND) arm that affects the release of his shot attempt.