Denver Nuggets – Dallas Mavericks · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 8 January 2020

DEN107–106DAL

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 84% of NBA games since 2017

· It was still open in the final minutes
· The win probability swung between the two teams 19 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ DAL winsDEN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when DAL leads and falls when DEN does.

This is how the game was decided.

Nikola Jokić decided it, the Denver Nuggets player with the most points (33, with 6 rebounds and 7 assists; -3 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Juancho Hernangomez's (+7). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Dallas Mavericks 106-107 Denver Nuggets (January 8, 2020) was hit by Nikola Jokić: a layup with 7.9 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Denver Nuggets up 107-106. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Dallas Mavericks 106-107 Denver Nuggets (January 8, 2020) was a 7-0 run by the Dallas Mavericks between the third quarter and the fourth quarter, from 86-86 to 93-86. The Denver Nuggets' best was a 7-0 run in the fourth quarter (from 10:47 to 9:30), from 86-93 to 93-93.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Nikola Jokic makes driving layup.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Nikola Jokić decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 7.9 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 8 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Jokić decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

8 January 2020 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401161201:633; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2019-20 regular season, not this game.

Denver Nuggets

Nikola Jokić deflected 2.8 passes per game over his 73 games.
He ranks 22 of 352 in the league.
Jamal Murray recovered 1.2 loose balls per game over his 59 games.
He ranks 24 of 352 in the league.
Gary Harris deflected 2.6 passes per game over his 56 games.
He ranks 33 of 352 in the league.

Dallas Mavericks

Jalen Brunson drew 0.22 charges per game over his 55 games.
He ranks 13 of 352 in the league.
Dwight Powell contested 12.0 shots per game over his 40 games.
He ranks 15 of 352 in the league.
Luka Dončić recovered 1.2 loose balls per game over his 60 games.
He ranks 29 of 352 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Dallas Mavericks have won 105 of their 208 games against the Denver Nuggets.

105-103record of the Dallas Mavericks · NBA 1980-81 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

2-2in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1980-81 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Attendance

20.314

105.8% of capacity

American Airlines Center · Dallas

Scoring

213

combined points

10.6 below the season average (223.6)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

15 calls reviewed3 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Shooting · 00:29.8

Mason Plumlee → Luka Doncic

Plumlee (DEN) extends his arm into Doncic (DAL) and initiates contact that affects his driving shot attempt.

Foul: Personal · 00:40.9

Gary Harris → Luka Doncic

Harris (DEN) moves alongside Doncic (DAL) and maintains a legal guarding position on his drive to the basket. Doncic loses his balance on the spin move.

Foul: Shooting · 01:31.4

Dwight Powell → Jamal Murray

Powell (DAL) grabs Murray's (DEN) jersey and affects his driving shot attempt.