SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 9 February 2020

UTA114–113HOU
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 90% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ HOU winsUTA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when HOU leads and falls when UTA does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · UTA

Donovan Mitchell
Rudy Gobert
Joe Ingles
Bojan Bogdanovic
Jordan Clarkson

Mitchell · Gobert · Ingles · Bogdanovic · Clarkson

Closing lineup · HOU

James Harden
Russell Westbrook
P.J. Tucker
Robert Covington
Tyson Chandler

Harden · Westbrook · Tucker · Covington · Chandler

Q1Q2Q3Q4
UTA
Donovan Mitchell

Donovan Mitchell

37′ · -6

Rudy Gobert

Rudy Gobert

37′ · -6

Mike Conley

Mike Conley

34′ · +9

Joe Ingles

Joe Ingles

33′ · +2

Bojan Bogdanovic

Bojan Bogdanovic

32′ · -8

Jordan Clarkson

Jordan Clarkson

29′ · +5

Royce O'Neale

Royce O'Neale

19′ · +2

Georges Niang

Georges Niang

9′ · 0

Tony Bradley

Tony Bradley

4′ · -4

Juwan Morgan

Juwan Morgan

7′ · +11

HOU
James Harden

James Harden

39′ · +8

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

38′ · +4

P.J. Tucker

P.J. Tucker

36′ · +10

Danuel House Jr.

Danuel House Jr.

36′ · -6

Robert Covington

Robert Covington

35′ · +4

Ben McLemore

Ben McLemore

27′ · -8

Austin Rivers

Austin Rivers

19′ · -7

Thabo Sefolosha

Thabo Sefolosha

10′ · -7

Tyson Chandler

Tyson Chandler

0′ · -3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. UTA and HOU.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Utah Jazz

  • Mitchell, Conley, Bogdanovic, Gobert, and Ingles played 19.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • O'Neale, Mitchell, Bogdanovic, Gobert, and Clarkson played 11.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Niang, Morgan, Conley, Clarkson, and Ingles played 3.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

Houston Rockets

  • House, Tucker, Westbrook, Harden, and Covington played 16.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

  • Tucker, Westbrook, Harden, McLemore, and Covington played 8.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • House, Sefolosha, Westbrook, Rivers, and McLemore played 7.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Utah Jazz

  • O'Neale, Morgan, Conley, Clarkson, and Ingles played 3.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Niang, Bradley, Conley, Clarkson, and Ingles played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • O'Neale, Niang, Bradley, Conley, and Clarkson played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Mitchell, Conley, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Mitchell, Bogdanovic, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • O'Neale, Mitchell, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

Houston Rockets

  • House, Tucker, Harden, McLemore, and Covington played 4.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • House, Tucker, Westbrook, Harden, and Rivers played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Tucker, Harden, Rivers, McLemore, and Covington played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • House, Westbrook, Rivers, McLemore, and Covington played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • House, Sefolosha, Harden, Rivers, and McLemore played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Sefolosha, Harden, Rivers, McLemore, and Covington played 1.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
18.055
100% of capacity
Toyota Center · Houston
Scoring
227
combined points
3.4 above the season average (223.6)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

22 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: Traveling · 00:40.9
Donovan Mitchell → Rockets
Mitchell (UTA) establishes his left foot as his pivot after receiving the pass and slides it as the pick approaches.