Win probability changed during the game. · 9 February 2020
It was more exciting than 90% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when HOU leads and falls when UTA does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · UTA
Mitchell · Gobert · Ingles · Bogdanovic · Clarkson
Closing lineup · HOU
Harden · Westbrook · Tucker · Covington · Chandler
Donovan Mitchell
37′ · -6
Rudy Gobert
37′ · -6
Mike Conley
34′ · +9
Joe Ingles
33′ · +2
Bojan Bogdanovic
32′ · -8
Jordan Clarkson
29′ · +5
Royce O'Neale
19′ · +2
Georges Niang
9′ · 0
Tony Bradley
4′ · -4
Juwan Morgan
7′ · +11
James Harden
39′ · +8
Russell Westbrook
38′ · +4
P.J. Tucker
36′ · +10
Danuel House Jr.
36′ · -6
Robert Covington
35′ · +4
Ben McLemore
27′ · -8
Austin Rivers
19′ · -7
Thabo Sefolosha
10′ · -7
Tyson Chandler
0′ · -3
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. UTA and HOU.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Utah Jazz
Mitchell, Conley, Bogdanovic, Gobert, and Ingles played 19.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
O'Neale, Mitchell, Bogdanovic, Gobert, and Clarkson played 11.7 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Niang, Morgan, Conley, Clarkson, and Ingles played 3.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Houston Rockets
House, Tucker, Westbrook, Harden, and Covington played 16.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Tucker, Westbrook, Harden, McLemore, and Covington played 8.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
House, Sefolosha, Westbrook, Rivers, and McLemore played 7.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
▸See every lineup of the game
Utah Jazz
O'Neale, Morgan, Conley, Clarkson, and Ingles played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Niang, Bradley, Conley, Clarkson, and Ingles played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
O'Neale, Niang, Bradley, Conley, and Clarkson played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Mitchell, Conley, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 1.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Mitchell, Bogdanovic, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
O'Neale, Mitchell, Gobert, Clarkson, and Ingles played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Houston Rockets
House, Tucker, Harden, McLemore, and Covington played 4.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
House, Tucker, Westbrook, Harden, and Rivers played 4.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Tucker, Harden, Rivers, McLemore, and Covington played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
House, Westbrook, Rivers, McLemore, and Covington played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
House, Sefolosha, Harden, Rivers, and McLemore played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Sefolosha, Harden, Rivers, McLemore, and Covington played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

