Miami Heat – Oklahoma City Thunder · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 12 August 2020

MIA115–116OKC

Is it worth watching?

Recommended

It was more exciting than 58% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ OKC winsMIA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when OKC leads and falls when MIA does.

This is how the game was decided.

Darius Bazley decided it, the Oklahoma City Thunder player with the most points (21, with 9 rebounds and 4 assists; +20 with him on the floor). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Oklahoma City Thunder 116-115 Miami Heat (August 12, 2020) was hit by Mike Muscala: a three-pointer with 5.2 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Oklahoma City Thunder up 116-115. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Oklahoma City Thunder 116-115 Miami Heat (August 12, 2020) was a 14-0 run by the Oklahoma City Thunder between the first quarter and the second quarter, from 24-42 to 38-42. The Miami Heat' best was a 11-0 run between the third quarter and the fourth quarter, from 93-82 to 104-82.

With 30 points, this is Tyler Herro's highest-scoring game of the 2019‑20 regular season.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Mike Muscala makes 28-foot three point jumper (Darius Bazley assists).

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

It is compared by points with all his official NBA box scores in that scope; it is the same criterion the Analyst uses.

Mike Muscala decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 5.2 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 2 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Muscala decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

12 August 2020 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401224781:649; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2019-20 regular season, not this game.

Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler III deflected 3.4 passes per game over his 58 games.
He ranks 7 of 352 in the league.
Bam Adebayo recovered 1.3 loose balls per game over his 72 games.
He ranks 18 of 352 in the league.
Kelly Olynyk drew 0.18 charges per game over his 66 games.
He ranks 23 of 352 in the league.

Oklahoma City Thunder

Chris Paul deflected 3.3 passes per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 9 of 352 in the league.
Steven Adams contested 11.5 shots per game over his 63 games.
He ranks 17 of 352 in the league.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander recovered 1.2 loose balls per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 29 of 352 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Oklahoma City Thunder have won 20 of their 41 games against the Miami Heat.

20-21record of the Oklahoma City Thunder · NBA 2008-09 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 2008-09 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Scoring

231

combined points

7.4 above the season average (223.6)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

12 calls reviewed2 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Shooting · 00:07.0

Chris Silva → Mike Muscala

Silva (MIA) makes contact with Muscala's (OKC) leg on his follow through.

Foul: Personal · 01:59

Mike Muscala → Tyler Herro

Prior to making contact with the ball, Muscala (OKC) reaches in and makes contact to Herro's (MIA) face.