Miami Heat – Milwaukee Bucks · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 2 September 2020

MIA116–114MIL

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 92% of NBA games since 2017

· The win probability swung between the two teams 19 times
· It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ MIL winsMIA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when MIL leads and falls when MIA does.

This is how the game was decided.

Goran Dragic decided it, the Miami Heat player with the most points (23, with 5 rebounds and 4 assists; -2 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Kelly Olynyk's (+7). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Milwaukee Bucks 114-116 Miami Heat (September 2, 2020) was hit by Jimmy Butler: a free throw with 0.0 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Miami Heat up 115-114. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Milwaukee Bucks 114-116 Miami Heat (September 2, 2020) was a 8-0 run by the Milwaukee Bucks in the first quarter (from 9:37 to 8:43), from 3-8 to 11-8. The Miami Heat' best was a 7-0 run in the first quarter (from 2:00 to 1:14), from 28-25 to 35-25.

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Jimmy Butler makes free throw 1 of 2.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Jimmy Butler decided this game: his points put his team ahead at the buzzer of the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 5 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Butler decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

2 September 2020 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401241766:809; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIA

Crowder · Butler · Dragic · Olynyk · Herro

Closing lineup · MIL

Antetokounmpo · Middleton · Bledsoe · Matthews · Hill

Q1Q2Q3Q4

MIA

Jae Crowder

36′ · -4

Jimmy Butler III

36′ · -2

Goran Dragic

34′ · -2

Bam Adebayo

33′ · 0

Duncan Robinson

27′ · +1

Kelly Olynyk

16′ · +7

Tyler Herro

32′ · +5

Kendrick Nunn

9′ · +2

Andre Iguodala

11′ · +6

Derrick Jones Jr.

7′ · -3

MIL

Giannis Antetokounmpo

36′ · -7

Khris Middleton

33′ · +18

Brook Lopez

32′ · +12

Eric Bledsoe

31′ · -3

Wesley Matthews

30′ · -4

Pat Connaughton

12′ · -19

Marvin Williams

22′ · -5

George Hill

26′ · -3

Donte DiVincenzo

8′ · -10

Kyle Korver

10′ · +11

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIA and MIL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Miami Heat

Adebayo, Robinson, Dragic, Butler, and Crowder played 13.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Adebayo, Herro, Dragic, Butler, and Crowder played 4.7 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Jones, Adebayo, Herro, Dragic, and Crowder played 3.5 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.

Milwaukee Bucks

Lopez, Matthews, Bledsoe, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 10.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Lopez, Bledsoe, Middleton, Antetokounmpo, and Korver played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Williams, Lopez, Hill, Matthews, and Middleton played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Miami Heat

Robinson, Herro, Butler, Crowder, and Iguodala played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Nunn, Herro, Dragic, Olynyk, and Iguodala played 3.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Robinson, Herro, Butler, Crowder, and Olynyk played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Adebayo, Nunn, Herro, Dragic, and Iguodala played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Robinson, Dragic, Butler, Crowder, and Olynyk played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Jones, Herro, Butler, Crowder, and Olynyk played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Adebayo, Robinson, Herro, Butler, and Iguodala played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Adebayo, Robinson, Herro, Butler, and Olynyk played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Adebayo, Herro, Butler, Crowder, and Olynyk played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Jones, Adebayo, Nunn, Herro, and Dragic played 1.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Adebayo, Nunn, Herro, Dragic, and Olynyk played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Milwaukee Bucks

Williams, Hill, Matthews, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Lopez, Hill, Bledsoe, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Williams, Connaughton, DiVincenzo, Hill, and Antetokounmpo played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Williams, Hill, Matthews, Bledsoe, and Antetokounmpo played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Williams, Lopez, Matthews, Bledsoe, and Middleton played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 7 points.
Williams, Connaughton, Hill, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Connaughton, Lopez, Matthews, Bledsoe, and Middleton played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Connaughton, DiVincenzo, Hill, Antetokounmpo, and Korver played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Lopez, Hill, Matthews, Bledsoe, and Antetokounmpo played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
DiVincenzo, Lopez, Bledsoe, Middleton, and Korver played 1.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Williams, Connaughton, Hill, Matthews, and Antetokounmpo played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Williams, Hill, Bledsoe, Antetokounmpo, and Korver played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Williams, Connaughton, Lopez, Hill, and Matthews played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Jimmy Butler III covered 4.31 km, more than anyone in the game.

Giannis Antetokounmpo touched the ball 82 times, a game high.
Jae Crowder defended 6 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 5.
Giannis Antetokounmpo had 23 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Miami Heat

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Jimmy Butler III	4.31	6.7	70	54
Tyler Herro	4.26	7.5	52	35
Jae Crowder	4.07	6.4	58	43
Goran Dragic	3.89	6.5	80	54
Bam Adebayo	3.77	6.5	67	52
Duncan Robinson	3.39	7.3	31	18
Kelly Olynyk	1.98	7.0	25	17
Andre Iguodala	1.30	6.7	18	14
Kendrick Nunn	1.11	6.7	9	6
Derrick Jones Jr.	0.84	6.5	5	3

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Giannis Antetokounmpo	4.18	6.6	82	52
Khris Middleton	3.97	6.8	68	44
Brook Lopez	3.67	6.4	28	17
Eric Bledsoe	3.60	6.6	59	40
Wesley Matthews	3.59	6.7	26

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2019-20 regular season, not this game.

Miami Heat

Jimmy Butler III deflected 3.4 passes per game over his 58 games.
He ranks 7 of 352 in the league.
Bam Adebayo recovered 1.3 loose balls per game over his 72 games.
He ranks 18 of 352 in the league.
Kelly Olynyk drew 0.18 charges per game over his 66 games.
He ranks 23 of 352 in the league.

Milwaukee Bucks

Giannis Antetokounmpo defended 4.1 shots at the rim per game over his 62 games, and opponents made 20 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 1 of 141 in the league.
Brook Lopez contested 19.0 shots per game over his 68 games.
He ranks 1 of 352 in the league.
Eric Bledsoe recovered 1.2 loose balls per game over his 61 games.
He ranks 38 of 352 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Milwaukee Bucks have won 64 of their 154 games against the Miami Heat.

64-90record of the Milwaukee Bucks · NBA 1988-89 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-2in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1988-89 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Series

Game 2

Conference semifinals

MIA 4-1

Scoring

230

combined points

10.9 above the season average (219.1)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

24 calls reviewed3 errors admitted by the NBA

Turnover: Stepped out of Bounds · 00:12

Jimmy Butler → Bucks

Butler (MIA) jumps out of bounds and touches the floor before releasing the ball back inbounds.

Stoppage: Out-of-Bounds · 00:13.2

George Hill → Heat

Hill (MIL) is standing on the sideline when he makes contact with the ball.

Foul: Personal · 00:14.4

Kyle Korver → Jimmy Butler

Korver (MIL) makes contact with Butler's (MIA) arm that affects his balance after he gathers the pass.