Win probability changed during the game. · 27 December 2020
It was more exciting than 98% of NBA games since 2017
- · It stayed close for almost the whole game
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHI leads and falls when GSW does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · GSW
Curry · Wiggins · Oubre · Looney · Lee
Closing lineup · CHI
White · LaVine · Carter · Satoransky · Hutchison
Stephen Curry
36′ · +3
Andrew Wiggins
36′ · +2
Kelly Oubre Jr.
30′ · +9
James Wiseman
23′ · -4
Juan Toscano-Anderson
19′ · -2
Kevon Looney
17′ · +12
Mychal Mulder
11′ · 0
Jordan Poole
13′ · -10
Eric Paschall
19′ · -13
Damion Lee
21′ · +11
Brad Wanamaker
14′ · -3
Coby White
36′ · -7
Zach LaVine
35′ · -5
Wendell Carter Jr.
31′ · -4
Lauri Markkanen
29′ · +13
Patrick Williams
26′ · +6
Otto Porter Jr.
21′ · -2
Garrett Temple
19′ · -7
Tomas Satoransky
23′ · -3
Chandler Hutchison
19′ · +4
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. GSW and CHI.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Golden State Warriors
Oubre, Toscano-Anderson, Wiseman, Curry, and Wiggins played 14.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.
Lee, Paschall, Poole, Wanamaker, and Wiggins played 8.2 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Looney, Mulder, Paschall, Curry, and Wiggins played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Chicago Bulls
Markkanen, Carter, White, Williams, and LaVine played 11.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 12 points.
Markkanen, Hutchison, Temple, Satoransky, and Porter played 5.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 8 points.
Markkanen, Hutchison, White, Satoransky, and Porter played 4.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
▸See every lineup of the game
Golden State Warriors
Oubre, Looney, Lee, Curry, and Wiggins played 3.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 12 points.
Oubre, Lee, Toscano-Anderson, Wiseman, and Curry played 2.5 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Looney, Mulder, Paschall, Poole, and Curry played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.
Oubre, Paschall, Wiseman, Curry, and Wiggins played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Oubre, Lee, Wiseman, Curry, and Wanamaker played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Looney, Lee, Poole, Wanamaker, and Wiggins played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Oubre, Looney, Mulder, Paschall, and Curry played 1.9 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Oubre, Looney, Mulder, Toscano-Anderson, and Curry played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Oubre, Lee, Wiseman, Wanamaker, and Wiggins played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Chicago Bulls
Markkanen, White, Williams, Temple, and LaVine played 4.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Carter, White, Temple, Porter, and LaVine played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Carter, Hutchison, White, Williams, and LaVine played 3.6 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Carter, Hutchison, White, Williams, and Satoransky played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Carter, Temple, Satoransky, Porter, and LaVine played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Carter, White, Satoransky, Porter, and LaVine played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Carter, Hutchison, Williams, Satoransky, and LaVine played 2.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 1 point.
Markkanen, Temple, Satoransky, Porter, and LaVine played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.
Carter, White, Williams, Temple, and LaVine played 1.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

