Win probability changed during the game. · 24 January 2021
It was more exciting than 79% of NBA games since 2017
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 20 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ORL leads and falls when CHA does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · CHA
Rozier · Hayward · Graham · Ball · Bridges
Closing lineup · ORL
Clark · Vucevic · Fournier · Anthony · Bacon
Terry Rozier
38′ · +7
Gordon Hayward
38′ · -3
Devonte' Graham
35′ · 0
P.J. Washington
32′ · 0
Bismack Biyombo
25′ · -11
LaMelo Ball
28′ · +15
Miles Bridges
25′ · +8
Cody Zeller
15′ · +5
Caleb Martin
5′ · -4
Gary Clark
35′ · -1
Nikola Vucevic
35′ · 0
Evan Fournier
33′ · -6
Cole Anthony
33′ · 0
James Ennis III
22′ · +10
Terrence Ross
30′ · -11
Dwayne Bacon
18′ · 0
Jordan Bone
15′ · -3
Khem Birch
19′ · -6
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHA and ORL.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
Charlotte Hornets
Rozier, Graham, Washington, Hayward, and Biyombo played 20.0 minutes together.
Rozier, Bridges, Ball, Hayward, and Zeller played 10.1 minutes together.
Bridges, Graham, Washington, Ball, and Hayward played 5.3 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each Charlotte Hornets lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
Orlando Magic
Clark, Anthony, Vucevic, Fournier, and Ennis played 11.3 minutes together.
Clark, Anthony, Vucevic, Ross, and Fournier played 8.0 minutes together.
Bacon, Clark, Bone, Ross, and Birch played 6.1 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each Orlando Magic lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
▸See every lineup of the game
Charlotte Hornets
Rozier, Bridges, Graham, Washington, and Ball played 3.0 minutes together.
Bridges, Graham, Martin, Ball, and Zeller played 2.9 minutes together.
Rozier, Graham, Washington, Ball, and Biyombo played 1.9 minutes together.
Bridges, Graham, Ball, Hayward, and Zeller played 1.8 minutes together.
Rozier, Bridges, Martin, Ball, and Biyombo played 1.5 minutes together.
Orlando Magic
Bacon, Clark, Anthony, Ross, and Birch played 5.8 minutes together.
Bone, Vucevic, Fournier, Ennis, and Birch played 3.6 minutes together.
Anthony, Vucevic, Ross, Fournier, and Ennis played 3.3 minutes together.
Bacon, Anthony, Vucevic, Ross, and Ennis played 2.1 minutes together.
Clark, Bone, Vucevic, Ross, and Fournier played 2.1 minutes together.
Bone, Vucevic, Ross, Fournier, and Birch played 1.5 minutes together.
Bacon, Bone, Vucevic, Ross, and Ennis played 1.1 minutes together.
Bacon, Clark, Anthony, Fournier, and Birch played 1.1 minutes together.
Bacon, Clark, Bone, Vucevic, and Fournier played 1.0 minutes together.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

