SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 24 January 2021

CHA107–104ORL
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 79% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 20 times

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ ORL winsCHA wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when ORL leads and falls when CHA does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · CHA

Terry Rozier
Gordon Hayward
Devonte' Graham
LaMelo Ball
Miles Bridges

Rozier · Hayward · Graham · Ball · Bridges

Closing lineup · ORL

Gary Clark
Nikola Vucevic
Evan Fournier
Cole Anthony
Dwayne Bacon

Clark · Vucevic · Fournier · Anthony · Bacon

Q1Q2Q3Q4
CHA
Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier

38′ · +7

Gordon Hayward

Gordon Hayward

38′ · -3

Devonte' Graham

Devonte' Graham

35′ · 0

P.J. Washington

P.J. Washington

32′ · 0

Bismack Biyombo

Bismack Biyombo

25′ · -11

LaMelo Ball

LaMelo Ball

28′ · +15

Miles Bridges

Miles Bridges

25′ · +8

Cody Zeller

Cody Zeller

15′ · +5

Caleb Martin

Caleb Martin

5′ · -4

ORL
Gary Clark

Gary Clark

35′ · -1

Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic

35′ · 0

Evan Fournier

Evan Fournier

33′ · -6

Cole Anthony

Cole Anthony

33′ · 0

James Ennis III

James Ennis III

22′ · +10

Terrence Ross

Terrence Ross

30′ · -11

Dwayne Bacon

Dwayne Bacon

18′ · 0

Jordan Bone

Jordan Bone

15′ · -3

Khem Birch

Khem Birch

19′ · -6

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. CHA and ORL.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Charlotte Hornets

  • Rozier, Graham, Washington, Hayward, and Biyombo played 20.0 minutes together.

  • Rozier, Bridges, Ball, Hayward, and Zeller played 10.1 minutes together.

  • Bridges, Graham, Washington, Ball, and Hayward played 5.3 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Charlotte Hornets lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Orlando Magic

  • Clark, Anthony, Vucevic, Fournier, and Ennis played 11.3 minutes together.

  • Clark, Anthony, Vucevic, Ross, and Fournier played 8.0 minutes together.

  • Bacon, Clark, Bone, Ross, and Birch played 6.1 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each Orlando Magic lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

▸See every lineup of the game

Charlotte Hornets

  • Rozier, Bridges, Graham, Washington, and Ball played 3.0 minutes together.

  • Bridges, Graham, Martin, Ball, and Zeller played 2.9 minutes together.

  • Rozier, Graham, Washington, Ball, and Biyombo played 1.9 minutes together.

  • Bridges, Graham, Ball, Hayward, and Zeller played 1.8 minutes together.

  • Rozier, Bridges, Martin, Ball, and Biyombo played 1.5 minutes together.

Orlando Magic

  • Bacon, Clark, Anthony, Ross, and Birch played 5.8 minutes together.

  • Bone, Vucevic, Fournier, Ennis, and Birch played 3.6 minutes together.

  • Anthony, Vucevic, Ross, Fournier, and Ennis played 3.3 minutes together.

  • Bacon, Anthony, Vucevic, Ross, and Ennis played 2.1 minutes together.

  • Clark, Bone, Vucevic, Ross, and Fournier played 2.1 minutes together.

  • Bone, Vucevic, Ross, Fournier, and Birch played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Bacon, Bone, Vucevic, Ross, and Ennis played 1.1 minutes together.

  • Bacon, Clark, Anthony, Fournier, and Birch played 1.1 minutes together.

  • Bacon, Clark, Bone, Vucevic, and Fournier played 1.0 minutes together.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Attendance
3507
18.6% of capacity
Kia Center · Orlando
Scoring
211
combined points
13.2 below the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

21 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors