SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 31 January 2021

BKN146–149WAS
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 92% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ WAS winsBKN wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when WAS leads and falls when BKN does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · BKN

Kevin Durant
Kyrie Irving
Joe Harris
Jeff Green
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot

Durant · Irving · Harris · Green · Luwawu-Cabarrot

Closing lineup · WAS

Bradley Beal
Russell Westbrook
Rui Hachimura
Ish Smith
Isaac Bonga

Beal · Westbrook · Hachimura · Smith · Bonga

Q1Q2Q3Q4
BKN
Kevin Durant

Kevin Durant

38′ · +6

Kyrie Irving

Kyrie Irving

38′ · +3

Bruce Brown

Bruce Brown

32′ · +3

Joe Harris

Joe Harris

32′ · -2

DeAndre Jordan

DeAndre Jordan

19′ · +14

Jeff Green

Jeff Green

30′ · -19

Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot

Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot

17′ · +4

Landry Shamet

Landry Shamet

20′ · -7

Reggie Perry

Reggie Perry

7′ · -11

Tyler Johnson

Tyler Johnson

6′ · -6

WAS
Bradley Beal

Bradley Beal

38′ · -12

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

35′ · +7

Rui Hachimura

Rui Hachimura

29′ · -2

Robin Lopez

Robin Lopez

18′ · -13

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

16′ · -9

Davis Bertans

Davis Bertans

30′ · +3

Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews

26′ · +8

Ish Smith

Ish Smith

24′ · +24

Alex Len

Alex Len

4′ · -4

Moritz Wagner

Moritz Wagner

21′ · +11

Isaac Bonga

Isaac Bonga

0′ · +2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. BKN and WAS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Brooklyn Nets

  • Brown, Durant, Jordan, Irving, and Harris played 13.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Brown, Durant, Green, Irving, and Harris played 6.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 10 points.

  • Luwawu-Cabarrot, Shamet, Durant, Green, and Irving played 5.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 7 points.

Washington Wizards

  • Hachimura, Avdija, Westbrook, Lopez, and Beal played 9.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 13 points.

  • Wagner, Mathews, Westbrook, Smith, and Bertans played 6.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 12 points.

  • Hachimura, Westbrook, Lopez, Bertans, and Beal played 6.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Brooklyn Nets

  • Shamet, Perry, Green, Harris, and Johnson played 5.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Luwawu-Cabarrot, Brown, Durant, Jordan, and Irving played 3.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Brown, Shamet, Durant, Green, and Irving played 3.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Luwawu-Cabarrot, Brown, Shamet, Green, and Harris played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Luwawu-Cabarrot, Shamet, Perry, Green, and Irving played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Luwawu-Cabarrot, Durant, Green, Irving, and Harris played 1.7 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Durant, Green, Jordan, Harris, and Johnson played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

Washington Wizards

  • Mathews, Smith, Bertans, Beal, and Len played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Hachimura, Mathews, Westbrook, Bertans, and Beal played 3.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Wagner, Mathews, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 2.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Wagner, Hachimura, Mathews, Smith, and Beal played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Wagner, Hachimura, Mathews, Westbrook, and Smith played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Wagner, Hachimura, Mathews, Westbrook, and Beal played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Wagner, Mathews, Avdija, Westbrook, and Bertans played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hachimura, Westbrook, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Wagner, Avdija, Westbrook, Bertans, and Beal played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Wagner, Avdija, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Mathews, Lopez, Smith, Bertans, and Beal played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Hachimura, Avdija, Lopez, Smith, and Beal played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Scoring
295
combined points
70.8 above the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

12 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: Inbound Turnover · 00:02.9
Kyrie Irving → Wizards
Irving (BKN) leaves the designated throw-in spot, taking more than one step to the left before making the inbound pass. From available angles, Bonga (WAS) also appears to step on the boundary line.