SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 20 February 2021

GSW100–102CHA
Is it worth watching?
Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 91% of NBA games since 2017

  • · The win probability swung between the two teams 21 times
  • · It stayed close for almost the whole game

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ CHA winsGSW wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when CHA leads and falls when GSW does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · GSW

Kelly Oubre Jr.
Andrew Wiggins
Juan Toscano-Anderson
Brad Wanamaker
Eric Paschall

Oubre · Wiggins · Toscano-Anderson · Wanamaker · Paschall

Closing lineup · CHA

Terry Rozier
Gordon Hayward
P.J. Washington
LaMelo Ball
Miles Bridges

Rozier · Hayward · Washington · Ball · Bridges

Q1Q2Q3Q4
GSW
Kelly Oubre Jr.

Kelly Oubre Jr.

37′ · -7

Andrew Wiggins

Andrew Wiggins

33′ · -5

Draymond Green

Draymond Green

32′ · -5

Mychal Mulder

Mychal Mulder

16′ · -22

Juan Toscano-Anderson

Juan Toscano-Anderson

15′ · -16

Kent Bazemore

Kent Bazemore

22′ · +10

Brad Wanamaker

Brad Wanamaker

34′ · +15

Damion Lee

Damion Lee

23′ · +16

Eric Paschall

Eric Paschall

29′ · +4

CHA
Terry Rozier

Terry Rozier

39′ · +8

Gordon Hayward

Gordon Hayward

33′ · +1

P.J. Washington

P.J. Washington

32′ · +4

LaMelo Ball

LaMelo Ball

32′ · -3

Cody Zeller

Cody Zeller

21′ · 0

Miles Bridges

Miles Bridges

22′ · +3

Malik Monk

Malik Monk

22′ · +3

Bismack Biyombo

Bismack Biyombo

21′ · -3

Jalen McDaniels

Jalen McDaniels

19′ · -3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. GSW and CHA.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Golden State Warriors

  • Lee, Paschall, Wanamaker, Bazemore, and Wiggins played 11.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Oubre, Mulder, Toscano-Anderson, Green, and Wiggins played 7.7 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.

  • Oubre, Lee, Wanamaker, Green, and Bazemore played 5.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

Charlotte Hornets

  • Rozier, Washington, Ball, Hayward, and Zeller played 8.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Rozier, Bridges, Washington, Ball, and Hayward played 4.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 10 points.

  • Rozier, Monk, Washington, Hayward, and Zeller played 4.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Golden State Warriors

  • Oubre, Paschall, Wanamaker, Green, and Wiggins played 4.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 8 points.

  • Oubre, Mulder, Paschall, Wanamaker, and Green played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Oubre, Paschall, Wanamaker, Green, and Bazemore played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Oubre, Toscano-Anderson, Wanamaker, Green, and Wiggins played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Oubre, Mulder, Toscano-Anderson, Green, and Bazemore played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

  • Oubre, Lee, Paschall, Wanamaker, and Wiggins played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Oubre, Lee, Paschall, Green, and Wiggins played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Oubre, Mulder, Toscano-Anderson, Paschall, and Wiggins played 1.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

Charlotte Hornets

  • Rozier, Monk, Bridges, McDaniels, and Biyombo played 3.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Rozier, Washington, McDaniels, Hayward, and Biyombo played 3.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Monk, Bridges, Ball, Hayward, and Biyombo played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Rozier, Monk, Bridges, McDaniels, and Zeller played 2.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Rozier, Washington, McDaniels, Ball, and Biyombo played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Rozier, Bridges, McDaniels, Ball, and Biyombo played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Rozier, Monk, Washington, Hayward, and Biyombo played 2.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Monk, Washington, Ball, Hayward, and Biyombo played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Bridges, Washington, McDaniels, Ball, and Hayward played 2.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Rozier, Bridges, Ball, Hayward, and Zeller played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Rozier, Monk, Washington, Ball, and Biyombo played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Bridges, McDaniels, Ball, Hayward, and Zeller played 1.2 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Rozier, Monk, Washington, Ball, and Zeller played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Rozier, Monk, Bridges, Ball, and Zeller played 1.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Scoring
202
combined points
22.2 below the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

22 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Turnover: Traveling · 01:35.0
Eric Paschall → Hornets
Paschall (GSW) ends his dribble and hops consecutively on the same foot after his gather.