SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 28 February 2021

WAS110–111BOS
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 74% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ BOS winsWAS wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when BOS leads and falls when WAS does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · WAS

Bradley Beal
Russell Westbrook
Rui Hachimura
Raul Neto
Davis Bertans

Beal · Westbrook · Hachimura · Neto · Bertans

Closing lineup · BOS

Jayson Tatum
Kemba Walker
Javonte Green
Daniel Theis
Semi Ojeleye

Tatum · Walker · Green · Theis · Ojeleye

Q1Q2Q3Q4
WAS
Bradley Beal

Bradley Beal

39′ · +2

Russell Westbrook

Russell Westbrook

36′ · -12

Rui Hachimura

Rui Hachimura

25′ · -1

Garrison Mathews

Garrison Mathews

16′ · -15

Moritz Wagner

Moritz Wagner

13′ · -12

Raul Neto

Raul Neto

27′ · +3

Davis Bertans

Davis Bertans

26′ · +10

Alex Len

Alex Len

7′ · -1

Deni Avdija

Deni Avdija

7′ · -1

Isaac Bonga

Isaac Bonga

16′ · +8

Robin Lopez

Robin Lopez

28′ · +14

BOS
Jayson Tatum

Jayson Tatum

39′ · +13

Kemba Walker

Kemba Walker

33′ · +4

Javonte Green

Javonte Green

33′ · -1

Daniel Theis

Daniel Theis

32′ · +5

Tristan Thompson

Tristan Thompson

19′ · +8

Payton Pritchard

Payton Pritchard

21′ · -9

Semi Ojeleye

Semi Ojeleye

19′ · +1

Robert Williams III

Robert Williams III

18′ · -7

Jeff Teague

Jeff Teague

22′ · -3

Grant Williams

Grant Williams

6′ · -6

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. WAS and BOS.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Washington Wizards

  • Wagner, Hachimura, Mathews, Westbrook, and Beal played 8.9 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 11 points.

  • Bonga, Westbrook, Lopez, Bertans, and Beal played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Westbrook, Lopez, Bertans, Beal, and Neto played 4.5 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

Boston Celtics

  • Tatum, Theis, Green, Thompson, and Walker played 11.7 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

  • Tatum, Ojeleye, Theis, Green, and Walker played 6.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 1 point.

  • Tatum, Williams, Williams, Pritchard, and Teague played 6.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 6 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Washington Wizards

  • Bonga, Westbrook, Lopez, Bertans, and Neto played 4.1 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Avdija, Westbrook, Bertans, Len, and Neto played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Hachimura, Westbrook, Lopez, Bertans, and Beal played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Hachimura, Mathews, Lopez, Beal, and Neto played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hachimura, Bonga, Lopez, Beal, and Neto played 2.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 6 points.

  • Hachimura, Bonga, Westbrook, Lopez, and Beal played 2.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Avdija, Bertans, Beal, Len, and Neto played 2.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Hachimura, Mathews, Westbrook, Lopez, and Beal played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Wagner, Hachimura, Bertans, Beal, and Neto played 1.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Wagner, Bonga, Mathews, Beal, and Neto played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.

  • Mathews, Westbrook, Lopez, Beal, and Neto played 1.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

Boston Celtics

  • Tatum, Ojeleye, Williams, Pritchard, and Teague played 5.6 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

  • Theis, Green, Teague, Thompson, and Walker played 4.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Tatum, Theis, Williams, Green, and Walker played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Ojeleye, Williams, Green, Pritchard, and Walker played 3.0 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Tatum, Theis, Green, Teague, and Walker played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

  • Ojeleye, Theis, Green, Pritchard, and Walker played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Tatum, Theis, Pritchard, Teague, and Thompson played 1.6 minutes together.

    Their team tied that stretch.

  • Tatum, Ojeleye, Pritchard, Teague, and Thompson played 1.3 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Scoring
221
combined points
3.2 below the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

19 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA
Foul: Defense 3 Second · 00:48.0
Javonte Green → Wizards
Green (BOS) is in the lane for longer than three seconds without actively guarding an opponent.