SportiveWorld

Win probability changed during the game. · 16 March 2021

NOP124–125POR
Is it worth watching?
Recommended

It was more exciting than 57% of NBA games since 2017

  • · It was still open in the final minutes

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ POR winsNOP wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when POR leads and falls when NOP does.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · NOP

Brandon Ingram
Lonzo Ball
Zion Williamson
Eric Bledsoe
Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Ingram · Ball · Williamson · Bledsoe · Alexander-Walker

Closing lineup · POR

Damian Lillard
Robert Covington
CJ McCollum
Carmelo Anthony
Gary Trent Jr.

Lillard · Covington · McCollum · Anthony · Trent

Q1Q2Q3Q4
NOP
Brandon Ingram

Brandon Ingram

36′ · -4

Lonzo Ball

Lonzo Ball

35′ · -4

Zion Williamson

Zion Williamson

33′ · -3

Eric Bledsoe

Eric Bledsoe

27′ · -12

Steven Adams

Steven Adams

25′ · +4

Josh Hart

Josh Hart

28′ · -2

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

Nickeil Alexander-Walker

25′ · +2

Jaxson Hayes

Jaxson Hayes

19′ · +6

Kira Lewis Jr.

Kira Lewis Jr.

9′ · +6

Willy Hernangomez

Willy Hernangomez

2′ · 0

POR
Damian Lillard

Damian Lillard

41′ · +9

Robert Covington

Robert Covington

37′ · +11

Enes Freedom

Enes Freedom

28′ · -7

CJ McCollum

CJ McCollum

26′ · -8

Derrick Jones Jr.

Derrick Jones Jr.

18′ · 0

Carmelo Anthony

Carmelo Anthony

30′ · +1

Nassir Little

Nassir Little

18′ · -11

Gary Trent Jr.

Gary Trent Jr.

32′ · +8

Rodney Hood

Rodney Hood

11′ · +2

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NOP and POR.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Ingram, Ball, Williamson, Bledsoe, and Adams played 17.2 minutes together.

  • Hart, Williamson, Hayes, Alexander-Walker, and Lewis played 8.2 minutes together.

  • Ingram, Ball, Hart, Alexander-Walker, and Adams played 4.3 minutes together.

The plus-minus of each New Orleans Pelicans lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Jones, Freedom, Lillard, McCollum, and Covington played 11.5 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

  • Trent, Little, Freedom, Lillard, and Anthony played 9.2 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.

  • Trent, Lillard, McCollum, Covington, and Anthony played 5.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 9 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

New Orleans Pelicans

  • Ingram, Ball, Hart, Bledsoe, and Adams played 3.5 minutes together.

  • Ingram, Ball, Hart, Hayes, and Alexander-Walker played 3.2 minutes together.

  • Ingram, Hart, Hayes, Alexander-Walker, and Bledsoe played 2.3 minutes together.

  • Ball, Hart, Williamson, Hayes, and Alexander-Walker played 2.1 minutes together.

  • Hernangomez, Ingram, Ball, Williamson, and Alexander-Walker played 2.1 minutes together.

  • Ingram, Ball, Hart, Williamson, and Bledsoe played 1.5 minutes together.

  • Ingram, Hart, Hayes, Alexander-Walker, and Lewis played 1.2 minutes together.

  • Hart, Williamson, Hayes, Alexander-Walker, and Bledsoe played 1.1 minutes together.

Portland Trail Blazers

  • Trent, Little, McCollum, Covington, and Anthony played 5.3 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 5 points.

  • Trent, Lillard, Covington, Hood, and Anthony played 4.9 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 8 points.

  • Jones, Freedom, Lillard, Covington, and Hood played 3.1 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 2 points.

  • Jones, Trent, Freedom, Lillard, and Covington played 2.4 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

  • Trent, McCollum, Covington, Hood, and Anthony played 2.1 minutes together.

    Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.

  • Trent, Little, Lillard, Covington, and Anthony played 1.8 minutes together.

    Their team won that stretch by 4 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Game context

Scoring
249
combined points
24.8 above the season average (224.2)
⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

21 calls reviewed0 no admitted errors