Win probability changed during the game. · 5 April 2021
It was more exciting than 85% of NBA games since 2017
- · It was still open in the final minutes
- · The win probability swung between the two teams 16 times
It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.
Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when BKN leads and falls when NYK does.
Rotations · who was on the floor
Closing lineup · NYK
Randle · Barrett · Bullock · Burks · Quickley
Closing lineup · BKN
Irving · Green · Harris · Luwawu-Cabarrot · Brown
Julius Randle
39′ · 0
RJ Barrett
33′ · -3
Reggie Bullock Jr.
31′ · +7
Nerlens Noel
22′ · -2
Elfrid Payton
22′ · +3
Taj Gibson
25′ · -3
Derrick Rose
25′ · -8
Alec Burks
20′ · -10
Immanuel Quickley
13′ · +6
Obi Toppin
9′ · -2
Kyrie Irving
37′ · -5
Jeff Green
36′ · -2
Joe Harris
34′ · +3
LaMarcus Aldridge
29′ · +7
James Harden
4′ · +1
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot
32′ · +3
Bruce Brown
21′ · -20
Nic Claxton
17′ · +2
Chris Chiozza
12′ · +12
Alize Johnson
17′ · +11
Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. NYK and BKN.
These lineups played the most minutes together.
New York Knicks
Barrett, Noel, Bullock, Payton, and Randle played 13.3 minutes together.
Barrett, Gibson, Bullock, Payton, and Randle played 8.6 minutes together.
Toppin, Quickley, Rose, Burks, and Noel played 6.8 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each New York Knicks lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
Brooklyn Nets
Brown, Aldridge, Green, Irving, and Harris played 6.6 minutes together.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Aldridge, Green, Irving, and Harris played 5.9 minutes together.
Aldridge, Green, Harden, Irving, and Harris played 4.4 minutes together.
The plus-minus of each Brooklyn Nets lineup is not shown: its rotation stints do not add up with each other.
▸See every lineup of the game
New York Knicks
Barrett, Rose, Gibson, Bullock, and Randle played 4.6 minutes together.
Barrett, Rose, Gibson, Burks, and Randle played 4.1 minutes together.
Quickley, Rose, Gibson, Burks, and Randle played 3.2 minutes together.
Rose, Gibson, Burks, Bullock, and Randle played 2.7 minutes together.
Toppin, Quickley, Rose, Gibson, and Burks played 2.1 minutes together.
Barrett, Rose, Noel, Bullock, and Randle played 1.5 minutes together.
Brooklyn Nets
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Johnson, Aldridge, Irving, and Harris played 4.4 minutes together.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Brown, Chiozza, Claxton, and Green played 3.1 minutes together.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Johnson, Chiozza, Claxton, and Harris played 3.0 minutes together.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Brown, Aldridge, Green, and Irving played 2.9 minutes together.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Johnson, Chiozza, Claxton, and Green played 2.8 minutes together.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Brown, Green, Irving, and Harris played 2.5 minutes together.
Brown, Johnson, Claxton, Irving, and Harris played 2.3 minutes together.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Brown, Claxton, Green, and Irving played 2.2 minutes together.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Johnson, Aldridge, Green, and Irving played 1.6 minutes together.
Luwawu-Cabarrot, Johnson, Chiozza, Aldridge, and Harris played 1.4 minutes together.
Chiozza, Aldridge, Green, Irving, and Harris played 1.4 minutes together.
Brown, Claxton, Green, Irving, and Harris played 1.4 minutes together.
▸See where these figures come from
The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.
Game context
Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

