Milwaukee Bucks – Golden State Warriors · NBA

Win probability changed during the game. · 6 April 2021

MIL121–122GSW

Is it worth watching?

Highly recommended

It was more exciting than 88% of NBA games since 2017

It measures how much the win probability moved during the game —without looking at who won or at the score— and compares it with the 10,950 NBA games with a curve since 2017. “Highly recommended” is the most intense 20%, “recommended” runs from 50% to 80%, and “skippable” is the rest. Source: ESPN.

↑ GSW winsMIL wins ↓

Home team's win probability across the game (source: ESPN). The band rises when GSW leads and falls when MIL does.

This is how the game was decided.

Stephen Curry decided it, the Golden State Warriors player with the most points (41, with 6 rebounds and 4 assists; +3 with him on the floor); the winner's best plus-minus was Draymond Green's (+5). The criterion: the winner's points in the box score; plus-minus says who was on the floor when the game opened up.

The game-winner in Golden State Warriors 122-121 Milwaukee Bucks (April 6, 2021) was hit by Kelly Oubre Jr.: a free throw with 7.7 s left in the fourth quarter, putting the Golden State Warriors up 122-121. They never trailed again.

The biggest run of Golden State Warriors 122-121 Milwaukee Bucks (April 6, 2021) was a 11-0 run by the Golden State Warriors in the first quarter (from 10:50 to 9:31), from 2-3 to 13-3. The Milwaukee Bucks' best was a 10-0 run in the first quarter (from 7:22 to 5:17), from 5-18 to 15-18.

What were the keys of the last Golden State Warriors vs Milwaukee Bucks game?

▸See where these figures come from

Play: Kelly Oubre Jr. makes free throw 2 of 2.

I count as the game-winner the basket that puts the winning team ahead for good. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

A run here is consecutive points by one team without the opponent scoring. Source: the official NBA play-by-play (since 2002-03) and each team's official box scores.

Source: the game's official box score and play-by-play.

Kelly Oubre Jr. decided this game: his points put his team ahead with 7.7 seconds left in the fourth quarter, and the opponent never led again.

It is one of the 2 games he has decided this way in the NBA since the 2002-03 season.

His profile shows the games Oubre decided

▸See where these figures come from

A game is decided by the last basket that puts a team ahead in the final ten seconds of the fourth quarter or of an overtime, if that team wins.

6 April 2021 · The source is the ESPN play-by-play, play espn:401307566:636; the date is the one on the NBA box score.

Rotations · who was on the floor

Closing lineup · MIL

Middleton · Holiday · Lopez · DiVincenzo · Connaughton

Closing lineup · GSW

Curry · Oubre · Wiggins · Bazemore · Looney

Q1Q2Q3Q4

MIL

Khris Middleton

37′ · +7

Jrue Holiday

34′ · -13

Brook Lopez

33′ · -5

Donte DiVincenzo

30′ · -4

Bobby Portis

28′ · +6

Pat Connaughton

25′ · +9

Thanasis Antetokounmpo

20′ · +4

Axel Toupane

1′ · -3

Jeff Teague

16′ · -2

Bryn Forbes

14′ · -3

Jordan Nwora

3′ · -1

GSW

Stephen Curry

38′ · +3

Kelly Oubre Jr.

37′ · +5

Andrew Wiggins

33′ · -3

Draymond Green

29′ · +5

James Wiseman

25′ · -7

Kent Bazemore

26′ · -1

Damion Lee

18′ · -2

Kevon Looney

17′ · +2

Jordan Poole

17′ · +3

Each bar is a stint on the floor (source: NBA). The number is minutes played and the team's +/− with him on the court. MIL and GSW.

These lineups played the most minutes together.

Milwaukee Bucks

Portis, DiVincenzo, Lopez, Holiday, and Middleton played 8.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Connaughton, DiVincenzo, Lopez, Holiday, and Middleton played 5.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 7 points.
Connaughton, Lopez, Holiday, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 5.2 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

Golden State Warriors

Oubre, Wiseman, Curry, Green, and Wiggins played 14.3 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 9 points.
Looney, Lee, Curry, Bazemore, and Wiggins played 5.5 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Oubre, Looney, Lee, Poole, and Bazemore played 5.0 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.

▸See every lineup of the game

Milwaukee Bucks

Portis, Connaughton, Holiday, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Portis, Forbes, DiVincenzo, Teague, and Middleton played 3.0 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Portis, Connaughton, Holiday, Teague, and Antetokounmpo played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Portis, Forbes, DiVincenzo, Nwora, and Teague played 2.7 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
DiVincenzo, Lopez, Holiday, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Forbes, Lopez, Holiday, Teague, and Middleton played 2.4 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 3 points.
Portis, Connaughton, Forbes, Teague, and Antetokounmpo played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Portis, Connaughton, DiVincenzo, Lopez, and Middleton played 2.3 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.
Portis, Connaughton, Lopez, Holiday, and Middleton played 1.8 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Connaughton, DiVincenzo, Lopez, Middleton, and Antetokounmpo played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 5 points.

Golden State Warriors

Oubre, Lee, Poole, Wiseman, and Bazemore played 3.9 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 4 points.
Oubre, Poole, Wiseman, Curry, and Green played 3.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.
Oubre, Curry, Green, Bazemore, and Wiggins played 3.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Looney, Curry, Green, Bazemore, and Wiggins played 2.9 minutes together.
Their team tied that stretch.
Oubre, Poole, Curry, Green, and Wiggins played 2.8 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 2 points.
Oubre, Looney, Curry, Bazemore, and Wiggins played 2.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 4 points.
Wiseman, Curry, Green, Bazemore, and Wiggins played 1.6 minutes together.
Their team lost that stretch by 1 point.
Oubre, Lee, Poole, Wiseman, and Green played 1.4 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 6 points.
Oubre, Looney, Lee, Curry, and Bazemore played 1.1 minutes together.
Their team won that stretch by 3 points.

▸See where these figures come from

The lineups come from the NBA's official rotation: who was on the floor and when. Each lineup's plus-minus is worked out from every player's stints and is only shown when they all add up with each other and with the final score.

Stephen Curry covered 4.68 km, more than anyone in the game.

Stephen Curry touched the ball 94 times, a game high.
Stephen Curry made 62 passes, a game high.
Brook Lopez defended 11 shots at the rim, a game high, and opponents made 9.
Bobby Portis Jr. had 20 rebound chances, a game high.

▸See what was measured for each player

Milwaukee Bucks

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Khris Middleton	4.46	6.7	77	50
Jrue Holiday	4.23	6.9	78	48
Donte DiVincenzo	3.73	7.1	48	38
Brook Lopez	3.73	6.3	31	19
Bobby Portis Jr.	3.31	6.6	51	39
Pat Connaughton	3.19	6.9	37	29
Thanasis Antetokounmpo	2.54	7.2	26	21
Jeff Teague	1.80	6.6	28	20
Bryn Forbes	1.61	6.9	12	7
Jordan Nwora	0.34	7.4	1	1
Axel Toupane	0.08	5.9	0	0

Golden State Warriors

Player	km	km/h	Touches	Passes
Stephen Curry	4.68	6.9	94	62
Kelly Oubre Jr.	4.52	6.8	43	25
Andrew Wiggins	4.01	6.7	45	26
James Wiseman	3.31	7.4	56	42
Draymond Green	3.22	6.1	71

The figures come from the NBA's optical tracking (NBA.com) for this game; speed is each player's average while on the floor.

Who stood out on defense during the season

These figures cover the whole 2020-21 regular season, not this game.

Milwaukee Bucks

Brook Lopez contested 17.0 shots per game over his 70 games.
He ranks 1 of 364 in the league.
Jrue Holiday recovered 1.3 loose balls per game over his 59 games.
He ranks 1 of 364 in the league.
Donte DiVincenzo recovered 1.0 loose balls per game over his 66 games.
He ranks 24 of 364 in the league.

Golden State Warriors

Draymond Green defended 5.2 shots at the rim per game over his 62 games, and opponents made 13 fewer out of every 100 than usual.
He ranks 2 of 143 in the league.
Kelly Oubre Jr. deflected 2.7 passes per game over his 55 games.
He ranks 23 of 364 in the league.
Andrew Wiggins contested 8.9 shots per game over his 71 games.
He ranks 29 of 364 in the league.

Hustle figures come from the hustle stats the NBA publishes (NBA.com) and rim defense comes from its tracking; both cover the regular season. For each player in this game we show the figure that ranks him highest in the league, and for each team, the three best ranked. Ranks count players with at least 30 games and, at the rim, at least 4 defended shots per game.

The Golden State Warriors have won 26 of their 57 games against the Milwaukee Bucks.

26-31record of the Golden State Warriors · NBA 1996-97 – 2025-26, regular season and playoffs

1-1in 2025-26

See the full head-to-head in the Analyst

See where it comes from

Official NBA box scores, regular season and playoffs, 1996-97 – 2025-26. It counts every game between the two teams that the house holds, this one included.

SportiveWorld knows much more about this game

Game context

Scoring

243

combined points

18.8 above the season average (224.2)

⚖️ The last two minutes

Official NBA L2M report: every call in the endgame, reviewed by the league.

16 calls reviewed1 errors admitted by the NBA

Foul: Shooting · 01:45.8

Kevon Looney → Jrue Holiday

Looney (GSW) jumps from point A to point B and makes contact with Holiday (MIL) that affects his ability to follow-through naturally on his driving shot attempt.